VIP area access link:
TIPS
13.09.2025
  • Karlsruhe - Nuremberg
    When: 13:00
    Where: 2. Bundesliga Germany

    Karlsruhe
    Karlsruhe is currently in a strong 4th place in the table with 8 points from 4 games and remains unbeaten this season. The team shows a balanced performance with 5 goals scored and only 2 conceded. Particularly notable is their solid defense and offensive play down the wings, supported by a high tempo and intense pressing at home. The home record is very convincing, making Karlsruhe a dangerous opponent.

    Nuremberg
    Nuremberg, on the other hand, is struggling at the bottom of the table in 18th place with only one point from four games. The offense is barely existent, with only one goal scored, and the defense has conceded 4 goals. The squad suffers from numerous injuries and a suspension, which further weakens performance. The team appears creatively lacking and has problems creating scoring chances or stabilizing the defense, especially away from home.

    Injuries
    Karlsruhe has no critical absences that strongly affect the starting lineup or bench depth. However, Nuremberg faces several important absences: a player suspension due to yellow card accumulation, serious cruciate ligament injuries, as well as muscle and knee injuries to key players, adding further strain to an already weak squad.

    Head-to-Head
    The direct record clearly favors Karlsruhe, who have won four of the last five encounters against Nuremberg – often by a clear margin. This highlights both the sporting superiority and the psychological advantage of the hosts in the duel with Nuremberg.

    Match Prediction
    Given the clearer form, home record, and the severe squad problems at Nuremberg, Karlsruhe is the logical favorite to win. However, recent games of both teams show that neither regularly concedes or allows many goals, making a low-scoring game more likely. The tactical discipline and defensive repertoire of Karlsruhe, as well as Nuremberg’s offensive weakness, suggest the result will stay under 3.5 goals. The odds of 1.40 for "Under 3.5 Goals" thus appear very valid and offer a safe betting option for this match.

    My tip: Under 3.5 goals (1.40)
    Tip
  • Schalke 04 - Holstein Kiel
    When: 1:00 PM
    Where: 2nd Bundesliga Germany

    Schalke 04
    Schalke 04 currently occupies 2nd place in the table with 9 points from 4 games (3 wins, 1 loss) and a goal difference of 5:3. The season start is solid, but the team shows a pragmatic and sometimes overly cautious style of play. In the last game at Borussia Mönchengladbach, there was a 0-2 defeat, where defensive stability, especially in the central midfield, suffered. Offensive actions often rely on crosses, but the finishing is often insufficient. Defensively, they are basically solid but vulnerable to quick counterattacks. At home, Schalke plays with more confidence but is under great pressure.

    Holstein Kiel
    Holstein Kiel has had a disappointing start to the season and stands in 14th place with only 3 points from 4 games (1 win, 3 losses) and a goal difference of 4:6. Despite this weak start, Kiel shows character and strives for ball possession but often acts without penetrating power. The defense seems unstable, allows dangerous situations, but has also had some luck in a few games. Kiel often uses a 3-5-2 or 4-3-3 system and aims to actively use the wings but suffers from a lack of efficiency and concentration in set pieces. Without injury worries, Kiel can draw on its full squad, which is an important advantage.

    Injuries
    Schalke 04 must do without defensive players Tomas Kalas (knee) and Aris Bayindir (thigh), which can affect the defense. Holstein Kiel reports no injuries or suspensions, providing the team with more options and stability.

    Head-to-Head
    The recent direct encounters favor Holstein Kiel, who have remained unbeaten in the last three meetings against Schalke 04 (two wins, one draw), including a 2-0 win at their home stadium and a 1-0 away victory. These games show that Kiel is an unpleasant opponent for Schalke and holds a psychological advantage that goes beyond pure form curves.

    Match Prediction
    Considering the defensive weaknesses of both teams as well as the high importance of this game for Schalke and the well-known mental strength of Kiel against Schalke, a close, hard-fought match is expected in which both teams will score. Schalke will try to make up the deficit in the direct comparison, but Holstein Kiel has the potential and experience to also find the net. The bet "Both Teams to Score: Yes" with an attractive odds of 1.60 is therefore the recommended option.

    My Tip: Both Teams to Score: Yes (1.60)
    Tip
  • Getafe - Oviedo
    When: 14:00
    Where: Spain. Primera División

    Getafe
    Getafe currently occupies 6th place in the table with 6 points from three games (2 wins, 0 draws, 1 loss). The team has scored 4 goals and conceded the same number. After a clear 0-3 defeat against Valencia, Getafe showed character and subsequently won two matches against Sevilla (2-1) and Celta Vigo (2-0). Tactically, the team usually relies on a compact defense and quick counterattacks. Getafe's home strength is an important factor, as well as their ability to create enough scoring chances. However, supporters have reasons for concern due to the vulnerable defense, indicated by the high number of expected goals against (xGA).

    Oviedo
    Oviedo currently stands in 15th place with 3 points from three games (1 win, 0 draws, 2 losses). The offense struggles greatly with only one goal scored, while the defense has already conceded 5 goals. The team plays compact defensively but has shown weaknesses against established opponents. Oviedo's playstyle focuses on ball possession but lacks clear offensive drive and creativity, which severely limits their chance conversion. Especially away from home, there is a lack of incisiveness and stability, which could be decisive against a strong home side like Getafe.

    Injuries
    There is no information on injured or suspended players, so nearly optimal lineups for both teams are expected. This further increases the importance of tactics and current form.

    Head-to-Head
    The recent encounters between Getafe and Oviedo are not numerous but show that Oviedo is no easy opponent for Getafe. In the last two meetings, the teams drew 1-1 and Oviedo won once narrowly 1-0. However, these results come from the previous season or preparations, which in higher intensity matches can tend to be different.

    Match Prediction
    Considering the solid home team Getafe and Oviedo’s weak offense, a match with few goals is expected. Getafe does possess a certain offensive strength and home advantage, but their own defensive lapses and Oviedo’s defensive setup suggest the game will not be high scoring. Previous encounters have not featured many goals, and the form of both teams points rather to a close and tactically shaped battle. Therefore, we recommend the bet Under 2.5 Goals with odds of 1.43 as a very realistic and valuable option.

    My tip: Under 2.5 Goals (1.43)
    Tip
  • Modena - Bari
    When: 15:00
    Where: Italy. Serie B

    Modena
    Modena currently stands in 4th place with 4 points after two games. The team shows strong form, especially with a solid defense and effective attacks, as reflected by conceding only one goal. Their play is characterized by aggressive pressing, fast wing plays, and a well-organized team structure. At home, Modena feels very strong, which is underlined by convincing pre-season games. The recent encounters with Bari also speak in their favor, as they have won the last two matches.

    Bari
    Bari is currently in 15th place with just one point after two matches. The defense shows major weaknesses, often punished by opponents' fast counterattacks and intense wing attacks. Offensively, there is a lack of creativity and penetration, demonstrated by poor chance conversion. Away from home, the team has so far shown an insecure performance. Overall, Bari currently lacks the stability and security to compete against a well-form team like Modena.

    Injuries
    There are no injured or suspended players in either team, so both can field their best line-ups. This promises an intense and tactically demanding encounter.

    Direct Encounters
    The direct duels between Modena and Bari have always been close and marked by tactical discipline. Modena won the last two games 2-1 and 2-1, while earlier encounters mostly ended in narrow draws. The matches are characterized by few goals and a lot of fighting, typical for Serie B.

    Match Prediction
    Given the solid defensive performance of both teams, their tactical setup, and previous match courses, a low-scoring encounter is expected. History shows that matches between Modena and Bari rarely have many goals, often ending with results differing by one or two goals. Modena will dominate and create chances, but Bari's deep-lying defense will prevent at least some goals. The security and stability on both sides suggest the game will stay under 2.5 goals. The odds of 1.55 for this bet make it particularly attractive and reasonable.

    My Tip: Under 2.5 goals (1.55)
    Tip
  • Cagliari - Parma
    When: 15:00
    Where: Italy. Serie A

    Cagliari
    Cagliari currently occupy 14th place in the table with 1 point from two games. The team has scored 1 goal and conceded 2 goals so far. The team showed a stable defense in the first games but had offensive problems and was able to create only few clear goal chances. With a preferred formation of 4-3-3 or 4-4-2, Cagliari relies on a compact defense and quick counterattacks on the wings, although the offense currently appears too harmless.

    Parma
    Parma currently stand at 16th place with also only 1 point from two games, having scored 1 goal and conceded 3. The team showed good fighting spirit in the match against Atalanta despite some defensive weaknesses but appeared defensively unstable and offensively too harmless against Juventus. The formation varies between 4-3-3 and 4-2-3-1. Due to injuries, important players are missing in central midfield and attack, which limits rotation options.

    Injuries
    Cagliari must do without Leonardo Pavoletti (knee injury), which weakens their offensive power. Parma has multiple absences: Nicolas Trabucchi (knee problems), Matija Frigan (cruciate ligament rupture), Hernani (ankle injury), and Jacob Ondrejka (fibula fracture) are missing, especially in attack and midfield.

    Head-to-head matches
    The last five encounters between Cagliari and Parma were very high-scoring, with four games over 2.5 goals and frequent goals from both sides. Cagliari have a slight edge at home, but the matches are usually competitive and open with lots of offensive impetus from both teams.

    Match prediction
    Although bookmakers expect a low number of goals, many factors argue against such a scenario. According to xG values, Cagliari have created more chances than they have scored, and Parma concede more chances than the goals they allow, indicating a possible upcoming correction of these statistical “deficits”. Additionally, the history of their direct duels regularly shows goals and offensive drive. The numerous absences at Parma could make their defense more vulnerable but could also lead to even more open games. Therefore, a match with fewer than 2.5 goals is rather unlikely.

    My tip: Under 2.5 goals (1.60)
    Tip
  • VfL Wolfsburg - 1. FC Köln
    When: 15:30
    Where: Bundesliga Germany

    VfL Wolfsburg
    VfL Wolfsburg currently stands in sixth place in the Bundesliga with 4 points after two games. The team has shown offensive strength and manages to score in every match. However, there are defensive weaknesses, especially in midfield and through gaps in the defensive structure, which lead to opportunities for the opponent. Due to injuries, important players like Jesper Lindstrøm and Rogério are missing, which particularly affects creativity and defense. Nevertheless, Wolfsburg often succeeds in effectively using their scoring chances.

    1. FC Köln
    1. FC Köln impresses with a perfect season start and is in third place with 6 points. The team combines high offensive strength with aggressive pressing and tactical discipline. Their scoring rate exceeds the xG values, indicating very efficient finishing. However, defensive weaknesses are also evident, exacerbated by the absence of central defender Luca Kilian and creative midfielder Florian Kainz. Köln’s fast transitions and high intensity make them a strong opponent.

    Injuries
    Wolfsburg must cope without Jesper Lindstrøm, Rogério, Denis Vavro, and Kevin Paredes, affecting mainly defense and offense. Köln is also missing key players with Luca Kilian and Florian Kainz, particularly in defense and creative midfield. These absences increase the vulnerability of both teams’ defense.

    Head-to-Head
    In the last five encounters between Wolfsburg and Köln, Wolfsburg won three times, two of these away, and Köln won once with a 4-2 away victory. The most recent meeting ended in a 1-1 draw. The matches were often high-scoring and balanced, indicating an open game with many chances and goals.

    Match Prediction
    Both teams present strong offense while showing defensive weaknesses that are worsened by multiple absences. Wolfsburg relies on possession-based play with wing attacks, whereas Köln shines with intense pressing and quick transitions. The statistics and past encounters point to a match with several goals, but the defensive vulnerabilities might lead neither team to play too openly to avoid risking too much. Therefore, it is likely that the total number of goals will stay under 3.5, which—considering the betting odds of 1.38—is an attractive and sensible choice.

    My Tip: Under 3.5 goals (1.38)
    Tip
  • Freiburg - Stuttgart
    When: 15:30
    Where: Bundesliga

    Freiburg
    Freiburg started the season very weakly and has shown significant problems in defense, with 7 goals conceded in the first two games speaking a clear language. Offensively, goals have mainly come from set pieces; from open play, the team completely lacks punch so far. Coach Julian Schuster faces the challenge of making the team more stable and effective again. In front of their home crowd, Freiburg is eager to earn points and make up for their poor start.

    Stuttgart
    Stuttgart tries to dominate mainly through ball possession, which often leads to problems due to a shaky defense. Their playing style appears risky as small mistakes are immediately punished by opponents. Although Stuttgart has recorded two wins, the success against Eintracht Braunschweig was only possible after a penalty shootout, and the victory over Gladbach was narrow and not necessarily deserved. The team faces numerous injuries and is vulnerable to counterattacks, which Freiburg aims to exploit.

    Injuries
    Freiburg’s center back Kjaer is definitely out, and Beste’s participation is doubtful. Stuttgart has a considerable number of absences due to injuries; among others, Bredlow, Jakic, Dils, Silas, and Undav cannot play, while Stergiou and Tomas are uncertain.

    Head-to-head
    The recent direct duels between Freiburg and Stuttgart have been high-scoring, with at least four goals scored in each of the last four meetings. Both teams are defensively vulnerable, which favors goals but also increases the overall tally. Nevertheless, the season start has been very mixed on both sides.

    Match prediction
    Despite the recently goal-rich direct encounters, current form and numerous injuries rather suggest a game with fewer than 3.5 goals. Both Freiburg and Stuttgart have difficulties creating chances from open play, and the defenses are expected to adjust better to each other. The teams will act more cautiously to avoid falling behind early. Furthermore, the defense of both sides is currently not stable enough to allow an open goal-fest.

    My tip: Under 3.5 goals (1.50)
    Tip
  • Union Berlin - Hoffenheim
    When: 15:30
    Where: Bundesliga Germany

    Union Berlin
    Union Berlin currently sits in 10th place with 3 points after two games. The defense showed weaknesses in the loss against Borussia Dortmund, the aggressive pressing style faltered, and the defense often appeared overwhelmed. Offensively, there is a lack of incisiveness, although the team convinces at home with a lot of fighting spirit and assertiveness. Tactically, Union mostly operates in a 3-5-2 or 3-4-3 system, relying on robust defensive work and quick counterattacks down the wings, but struggles with implementing attacks and in the center of the pitch.

    Hoffenheim
    Hoffenheim holds 9th place in the table, also with 3 points from two games. They display a brave, offensive style with quick transitions and active wing play. However, the defense is vulnerable, especially on set pieces and long-range shots. Due to injuries, key players in defense and attack are missing, which weakens stability. The team often plays in a 4-3-3 or 3-4-1-2 system and impresses with effective chance conversion, though their defensive problems remain glaring.

    Injuries
    Union Berlin is missing Stanley Nsoki and Livan Burcu, who however are not key players. Hoffenheim, on the other hand, faces significant absences: Koki Machida (cruciate ligament rupture), Valentin Gendrey (ankle fracture), Adam Hlozek (wrist fracture), and Wouter Burger (ankle injury) — all important players whose absence notably weakens the defense and midfield creativity.

    Head-to-Head Encounters
    The head-to-head record shows a varied picture with several high-scoring games. Union won the last three matches, including an impressive 4-0 away victory. At the same time, Hoffenheim has also secured clear wins. Matches between these teams are rarely defensive, often resulting in open exchanges with many goals.

    Match Prognosis
    Union Berlin traditionally plays at home with great commitment and fighting spirit but shows defensive weaknesses that Hoffenheim can exploit with their fast and aggressive offensive style – despite injuries, Hoffenheim remains a goal-threatening team. Since both teams tend to concede many goals and play openly, an entertaining and high-scoring game is expected. Bookmakers anticipate a balanced battle, but Union’s home strength speaks in favor of a Double Chance on Union Berlin. The odds of 1.43 on Double Chance Union Berlin thus offer an attractive safeguard for earning a point or a win for the home team.

    My tip: Double Chance Union Berlin (1.43)
    Tip
  • Heidenheim - Borussia Dortmund
    When: 15:30
    Where: Germany. Bundesliga

    Heidenheim
    As a Bundesliga newcomer, Heidenheim is currently ranked 17th and has not yet collected any points after two matchdays. With only one goal scored and five conceded, the team shows defensive weaknesses that especially become apparent against fast and technically skilled opponents. The team’s tactics rely on intense pressing phases and quick transitions over the wings, which give them emotional drive but also lead to a lack of defensive stability. Especially at home, Heidenheim plays very committed and wants to deliver a spirited performance with the support of their local fans.

    Borussia Dortmund
    Borussia Dortmund presents itself as a clear offensive power and currently holds fourth place after the season start. With six goals scored and three conceded, the team demonstrates impressive attacking strength; however, defensive deficiencies also emerge, particularly against fast counterattacks. Dortmund favors the 4-3-3 system, which enables high ball possession and creative offensive actions. The individual quality and squad depth make Dortmund the favorite in this matchup.

    Injuries
    There is currently no information about serious injuries or suspensions for either team, so both coaches can likely line up their optimal squads.

    Head-to-Head
    In the last four encounters between Heidenheim and Borussia Dortmund, there were two draws and two wins for Dortmund, with Heidenheim scoring in three of those four games. The matches have always been high-scoring and exciting, indicating an open and entertaining game.

    Match Prediction
    The combination of both teams' offensive approach, defensive vulnerability, and the history of high-scoring meetings suggests a game with many goals. Heidenheim will give their all at home to avoid being overwhelmed, while Dortmund will capitalize on their offensive chances. This leads to a clear trend in favor of Borussia Dortmund, who are seen as the favorites. The bet “Borussia Dortmund to win” at odds of 1.60 is therefore a recommended choice for this match.

    My tip: Borussia Dortmund to win (1.60)
    Tip
  • Mainz - Leipzig
    When: 15:30
    Where: Bundesliga

    Mainz
    Mainz presents itself as an unpleasant opponent for Leipzig. In six of the last nine direct encounters, the "Carnivalists" won. Despite a stable squad after the transfer-free summer period, Mainz had a weak start to the season with only one point from two games. The chance conversion leaves much to be desired: only five out of 36 shots were on target, the only goal came from a penalty. However, coach Bo Henriksen’s team remains dangerous, especially on counterattacks, and boasts an impressive statistic: only one defeat in 64 Bundesliga games where Mainz was in the lead.

    Leipzig
    Leipzig had to let go of some key players due to the absence of European competitions. The offense has been almost completely rebuilt to bring new, motivated dynamics to the team after the embarrassing 0-6 loss against Bayern. Against Heidenheim, Leipzig dominated the game in the first half, switched to a more direct playing style in the second half, and scored both goals this way. Nevertheless, coach Ole Werner still faces the challenge of getting his team better coordinated and showing consistent performances.

    Injuries
    Mainz faces a tense personnel situation before the match with suspended and injured players, including the absence of Paul Nebel, as well as Benedikt Hollerbach and possibly also first-choice goalkeeper Robin Zentner. Leipzig is also missing important players due to injuries, including Henrichs, Banzuzi, and Gomis, which further weakens the squad.

    Direct Encounters
    The head-to-head record favors Mainz, who have won six of the nine previous encounters against Leipzig. This statistical superiority gives the hosts additional confidence.

    Match Prediction
    Despite all tactical adjustments by both teams, the game promises to be a match with limited goal-scoring chances. Mainz’s defense is considered compact, while Leipzig’s attack isn’t fully integrated yet and still needs to find its rhythm. Mainz’s goalkeeper will likely have to give his all, despite questionable participation, to prevent further goals. Moreover, referee statistics show the encounter could be characterized by many fouls, impeding the flow of the game and thus tendentially leading to fewer goals. Serious injuries and personnel changes on both sides indicate a defensive, controlled game. Therefore, many signs point to under 3.5 goals in this match, supported by the attractive odds of 1.48.

    My tip: Under 3.5 goals (1.48)
    Tip
  • Real Sociedad - Real Madrid
    When: 16:15
    Where: Spain. Primera División

    Real Sociedad
    Real Sociedad has had a disappointing start to the season and currently occupies only 16th place with 2 points from 3 games. The team has yet to celebrate a win, drawing twice and losing once. Offensively, the team appears creative with an xG of 3.40, but there is a lack of chance conversion. Defensively, quick counterattacks are a weakness, especially when the full-backs push high, creating large gaps. The pressure at home is tangible as the fans await their first victory. Tactically, Real Sociedad focuses on ball possession and controlling the midfield, prefers attacks via the wings, but often lacks finishing power.

    Real Madrid
    Real Madrid starts the season perfectly as league leader with 9 points from 3 games and a goal difference of 6:1. Despite some injury concerns, especially the absence of key players like Jude Bellingham and Eduardo Camavinga, the defense impresses with only one conceded goal (xGA 1.09). Offensively, the usual variability is currently missing, but the team remains very efficient and incisive overall. The team favors a 4-3-3 system with high ball possession, quick transitions, and individual quality. Real Madrid plays confidently away from home and aims for further successes.

    Injuries
    Real Sociedad has no reported injuries.
    Real Madrid has to do without Andriy Lunin (unknown injury), Eduardo Camavinga (ankle), Jude Bellingham (shoulder), and Ferland Mendy (hip). Additionally, Endrick is out until 14.09.2025 due to hip problems. The absence of Bellingham and Camavinga significantly weakens the offensive midfield.

    Head-to-Head
    Real Madrid traditionally dominates the direct encounters against Real Sociedad, often with narrow but controlled wins (2:0, 0:1, 0:2, 0:1) and rather low-scoring games. Exceptions like the 4:4 draw are rare. Real Sociedad has rarely managed to score many goals against the Royal team. The matches are mostly tactically shaped and intensely contested.

    Match Prediction
    This game promises to be a tactical battle in which Real Madrid, despite their injury worries, are the favorites. However, the offense will not shine as usual, increasing Real Sociedad’s chances to stabilize defensively. The hosts are motivated to achieve their first home win of the season, but offensively they have so far lacked the punch and efficiency to overcome Real Madrid’s strong defense. Given Madrid’s defense and the reduced creativity in attack, the match is expected to be tactically low-scoring. The value lies in a Real Madrid win, which will not be easy but is most likely due to individual quality and defense.

    My Tip: Real Madrid to win (1.60)
    Tip
  • Juventus - Inter Milan
    When: 18:00
    Where: Italy. Serie A

    Juventus
    Juventus started the season with a strong record: 2nd place in the table, 6 points from two matches, 3 goals scored and no goals conceded, suggesting an almost impenetrable defense. The recent form is impressive with five consecutive wins. Nevertheless, the xG analysis shows a discrepancy: Juventus should have scored 4.29 goals, but actually scored only 3, indicating slight efficiency problems. At the same time, the defense allowed an expected goals value of 1.41 but actually conceded none, which suggests a lot of luck or a great goalkeeper performance. The team plays in flexible formations such as 3-5-2 or 4-3-3 with a focus on compact central defense and quick counterattacks, but has a weakness against counters via the wings.

    Inter Milan
    Inter is currently in 6th place with a balanced start (1 win, 1 loss), but has shown an impressive offensive performance with 6 goals in just two games. 100% of the Nerazzurri's matches this season have had a total score over 2.5 goals, which speaks for their attacking style of play. The team usually operates very offensively in 3-5-2 or 4-2-3-1 systems, relying on strong pressing and high full-backs who deliver many crosses into the center. However, despite all attacking courage, defensive gaps appear, especially during quick counterattacks by the opponent. Particularly in away games, occasional defensive weaknesses emerge.

    Injuries
    Currently, no injured or suspended players are reported, so both teams can likely field their strongest line-ups. This increases the quality and intensity of this already exciting derby.

    Head-to-Head
    The recent history of direct encounters between Juventus and Inter is characterized by tactically driven games with usually few goals: four of the last five matches ended with a total score under 2.5 goals, three of them even 1:0 or 1:1. An outlier was the spectacular 4:4, showing that many goals are possible if the game develops accordingly. Traditionally, these matches are fiercely contested, but both teams currently demonstrate an offensive style that promises more goals.

    Match Prediction
    Although bookmakers consider Juventus' defense as stable and therefore predict less than 2.5 goals, the xG data and Inter's current form indicate a high level of offensive quality and goal threat. Juventus cannot rely on luck and strong goalkeeper performance forever, while Inter plays relentlessly forward and scores goals. The combination of these factors makes a game with at least two goals very likely. Therefore, we recommend the bet "Over 1.5 Goals" with the odds of 1.35 as a valuable tip for this exciting derby.

    My tip: Over 1.5 Goals (1.35)
    Tip
  • Fiorentina - Napoli
    When: 20:45
    Where: Italy. Serie A

    Fiorentina
    Fiorentina currently occupy 12th place in the table and managed only two draws with a score of 1-1 in the first two games. The team showed problems in offense because although they generated more chances according to xG values (2.33 expected goals), they scored only one goal. Defensively they stand well with just one goal conceded, but statistics suggest they should have conceded more already. Their style of play is characterized by controlled possession, but there is a lack of penetration and precision in finishing. At home, Fiorentina is known for being able to challenge big teams, but currently they lack the necessary consistency and security.

    Napoli
    Napoli lead the table with six points from two games and present themselves as the strongest current favorite for the title. With two convincing wins and a strong defense that has so far remained unbeaten, they show their championship ambitions. Their offense works almost perfectly, as reflected in the xG value of 3.29 expected goals. Napoli plays aggressively and fast, combines precisely, and consistently puts the opposing defense under pressure. Despite the absence of key defender Rrahmani, the defense is stable and the team will want to take control in this match as well.

    Injuries
    Fiorentina are missing important attacking players Kouamé (cruciate ligament tear) and Lamptey (knee injury), as well as Comuzzo with a minor ankle injury. Napoli have to do without Rrahmani (hamstring injury), Lukaku (hamstring injury), and Neres (muscular problems), which mainly affects the defense and offensive depth somewhat.

    Head-to-head
    In the last five encounters between Fiorentina and Napoli, the champions mostly dominated clearly with two 3-0 wins, but Fiorentina occasionally surprised with a 3-1 home win and a 2-2 draw. The record shows a certain superiority of Napoli, but Fiorentina at home is always an uncomfortable opponent who must not be underestimated.

    Match prediction
    The combination of Fiorentina’s strained defense and Napoli’s potent offense promises an exciting encounter, but based on the season’s performances so far and the analysis of xG values, a controlled game is expected. Napoli will dominate the match, but Fiorentina could keep the number of goals low with a compact defense and limited chances for the opponent. The probability that the game ends under 2.5 goals is therefore high. The odds of 1.60 for under 2.5 goals offer an attractive value, as both teams have not shown a flood of goals in the opening games and Napoli, despite their offensive power, will rather focus on safety and control.

    My tip: Under 2.5 goals (1.60)
    Tip
*ONLY IN ENGLAND!
£10 FREEBET