Torpedo-BelAZ - Naftan
When: 17:15
Where: Belarus. Vysshaya Liga
Torpedo-BelAZ
Torpedo-BelAZ is currently in 6th place in the table with 37 points. The team shows a strong, well-organized performance with 32 goals scored and only 20 conceded. However, recent appearances have been mixed: after a weak defeat against Smorgon (0:1), the team displayed a fighting and disciplined performance against ML Vitebsk, rewarded with a 1:0 away victory. Most recently, there was a narrow loss against Lokomotiv Moscow (2:3), where the defense showed weaknesses. At home, however, Torpedo-BelAZ dominated with a strong 2:0 win against Dinamo Brest and created numerous chances through aggressive pressing and controlled play. Nevertheless, occasional gaps appear in midfield and defense, especially against opponents' quick counterattacks.
Naftan
Naftan ranks 12th with 22 points and shows clear deficiencies in defense (35 goals conceded). However, the team is known for its unpredictable offense, which recently shone with an impressive 5:0 win against Molodechno. In other matches, the team has been inconsistent with high-scoring draws (3:3 against Vitebsk, 2:2 against Isloch) and a loss (0:2 against ML Vitebsk). Naftan often plays openly and takes risks, leading to high-scoring games but also weakening the defense. The defense remains their biggest weakness, making them vulnerable to goals against.
Injuries
Torpedo-BelAZ is missing two key players: Sergey Politevich suffers a cruciate ligament tear and is expected to be out until 08/23/2025, leaving a big gap in defense. Steven Alfred, who provides offensive creativity, is also injured and out until 10/13/2025. Naftan, on the other hand, can rely on their full squad, which is a clear advantage.
Direct Encounters
Torpedo-BelAZ clearly dominates the previous direct encounters with 4 wins and 1 draw in the last five matches against Naftan. They often scored many goals, such as a 5:0 home win and a 3:0 away win. This illustrates their superiority and how difficult Naftan usually finds it against them, especially defensively.
Match Prediction
Given Torpedo-BelAZ's home strength, tactical discipline, and clear historical dominance in the head-to-head matches, we expect a win for the hosts. Injuries could lead to defensive problems, but Naftan's vulnerable defense continues to offer chances to score goals. The expectation is a hard-fought game with goals on both sides, but ultimately the quality and stability of Torpedo-BelAZ predominate. Therefore, we recommend betting on a Torpedo-BelAZ win at odds of 1.33 as a valuable tip.
My tip: Win Torpedo-BelAZ (1.33)
Tip