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05.05.2025
  • Genoa - Milan
    When: 20:45
    Where: Italy. Serie A

    Genoa
    Genoa currently occupy 13th place after 34 matches. With only 29 goals scored and 41 conceded, the team has a negative goal difference of -12. In the last five games, there was only one win, one draw, and three losses. Notably, the weak offense, which scores less than one goal per game on average, and the defense is prone to mistakes and conceding goals. The team struggles with creativity and transition play, which is especially evident against better-organized opponents.

    Milan
    Milan stand at a disappointing 9th place in the table with 54 points and a goal difference of +15 (53 goals scored, 38 conceded). Form is unstable, with two wins, one draw, and two losses in the last five matches. The offense appears more threatening than Genoa's, but the defense also shows weaknesses, particularly against fast counterattacks. Despite the tactical deficiencies, Milan has higher-quality players and more experience.

    Injuries
    Genoa is troubled by numerous injuries, especially in the creative midfield and attack. Missing are, among others, Mario Balotelli (broken hand), Ruslan Malinovskyi (bruise), and Fabio Miretti (shoulder injury). Milan, on the other hand, currently seems free of injury concerns, which is a clear advantage for them.

    Head-to-Head
    The history of direct encounters between Genoa and Milan favors Milan, who have won three and drawn twice in the last five meetings. Genoa has not defeated Milan during this period. Especially recent matches with results such as 0:0 and 3:3 show that while Milan is favored, they also struggle to secure clear victories.

    Match Prediction
    Given Genoa’s offensive weakness, the absence of key creative players, and defensive gaps, combined with Milan’s unstable but qualitatively better squad, it is expected that Milan will leave the match as the winner. Both teams might face difficulties scoring many goals, but Milan should at least avoid defeat. Bookmakers see Milan as favorites with odds of 1.78, which presents a convincing bet based on this analysis.

    My tip: Milan win (1.78)
    Tip
  • Crystal Palace - Nottingham Forest
    When: 21:00
    Where: England Premier League

    Crystal Palace
    The "Eagles" display the classic British inconsistency this season. With 12th place and 45 points, they are positioned mid-table, having scored 43 goals and conceded 47. The last five matches have been mixed: one win, two draws, and two losses. Their tactical setup usually oscillates between 4-3-3 and 4-2-3-1, but often lacks stability in defense as well as threat in finishing. At home, they are somewhat more confident, but by no means unbeatable.

    Nottingham Forest
    Looking at the table, the "Forest" are better off with 60 points in 6th place. They scored 53 times and conceded 41 goals. However, the recent five matches reveal inconsistency with two wins and three losses. Their forward momentum sometimes leads to defensive weaknesses, especially against fast and counter-attacking teams. Tactically flexible, they use both 4-3-3 and 4-2-3-1 formations and occasionally test three defenders. Currently, they do not appear to be in top form and their away performance still raises questions.

    Injuries
    Crystal Palace have two key players sidelined long-term due to injury: Cheick Doucouré (knee surgery) and Chadi Riad (cruciate ligament tear). This significantly weakens their defense and central midfield. Nottingham Forest, on the other hand, seems fully available personnel-wise, giving them a considerable advantage.

    Head-to-Head
    The last five direct encounters between Crystal Palace and Nottingham Forest were extremely low scoring: Two 1-0 wins for Nottingham Forest, two 1-1 draws, and one 0-0. No single game featured more than two goals – a clear indication of defensively oriented and cautious matches.

    Match Prediction
    The combination of Crystal Palace's injury problems, Nottingham Forest's inconsistent form, and the very low-scoring direct matches suggest a close game with few goals. However, we expect both teams to score at least once, as both sides are capable of creating offensive chances. The odds of 1.68 for "Both Teams to Score: Yes" reflects this assessment well and offers an attractive betting option.

    My tip: Both Teams to Score: Yes (1.68)
    Tip
  • Girona - Mallorca
    When: 21:00
    Where: Spain. Primera Division

    Girona
    Girona is currently unusually low in the table in 17th place with 35 points from 33 games. The team shows weaknesses in defense with a goal difference of -12 (40 goals scored, 52 conceded). In the last five games there was only one draw and four losses, which has strongly affected the team's form. Despite attempts to control the game and act offensively, the defense rarely manages to maintain stability, resulting in many goals conceded. The home game gives Girona a bit more confidence, but the current defensive problems remain a major issue.

    Mallorca
    Mallorca occupies 9th place in the league with 44 points and thus belongs to the solid mid-table. Their style of play is rather defensive and structured, with a focus on damage limitation. The team scores on average less than one goal per game (31 goals in 33 games) but also concedes comparatively few goals (38). In the last five games, they managed only one win, one draw, and three losses. The away strategy is even more cautious and focused on counterattacks, which is emphasized even more due to existing personnel concerns.

    Injuries
    Girona has to do without Bryan Gil long-term but is accustomed to this. Mallorca, on the other hand, has multiple absences, especially in offense: Manu Morlanes, Robert Navarro, Takuma Asano, and especially the key player Vedat Muriqi are unavailable, which significantly weakens the team's attacking power.

    Head-to-Head
    In the last five encounters, Mallorca has had the upper hand three times, Girona twice. At home in Girona, games often featured many goals (e.g., 5:3, 2:1), while Mallorca’s home games were mostly much more defensive. Recent league matches at Mallorca’s ground also ended with narrow victories for Mallorca. This reflects the different playing styles of both teams on their own turf.

    Match Prediction
    Despite Girona's defensive weaknesses and Mallorca's injury-induced flaws in attack, we expect a game with at least two goals. Girona will play offensively at home and try to create chances, even though the defense is fragile. Mallorca will organize themselves defensively but will create goal danger through counterattacks and set pieces, even if they are weakened personnel-wise. Bookmakers assign a lower probability to under 2.5 goals with odds of 1.58, indicating that a high-scoring game seems more realistic. Therefore, we recommend the bet Over 1.5 goals with odds of 1.43.

    My tip: Over 1.5 goals (1.43)
    Tip
  • Malmö - Brommapojkarna
    When: 19:00
    Where: Allsvenskan

    Malmö
    Malmö currently ranks 4th in the table with 11 points from 6 games. The team shows a rather restrained record with 6 goals scored and 4 conceded, which corresponds to an average goal result of 1.67 per game. In the last five encounters, Malmö achieved two wins, two draws, and one loss. Despite being the favorite, the team occasionally shows difficulties in chance conversion and can especially struggle against compact defensive lines. Tactically, Malmö is likely to rely on ball control and an offensive basic setup with formations like 4-3-3 or 4-2-3-1, focusing on crosses and wing play. However, it should be noted that the defense can be vulnerable to fast counterattacks.

    Brommapojkarna
    Brommapojkarna is placed 10th with 7 points from 5 matches and shines with a high number of goals, scoring 7 and conceding 7, which means an average of 2.8 goals per game. The team plays very offensively and committed but suffers from a careless defense. With a similar tactical basic setup as Malmö, Brommapojkarna operates with intense pressing, which often leads to large gaps in the defense. Defensive weaknesses are further exacerbated by the absence of the central defender. Overall, the team shows unpredictable form with two wins, one draw, and two losses in the last five games.

    Injuries
    Malmö’s regular goalkeeper Johan Dahlin is out with a knee injury, which could affect the defense. Brommapojkarna will miss Nikola Vasic in central defense, who is expected to return only at the end of July due to an ACL tear.

    Head-to-Head
    In the last four direct matches between Malmö and Brommapojkarna, Malmö dominated with three wins and one draw. Interestingly, both teams scored in every one of these games. The results were 2-1, 2-2, 2-1, and 1-2, with Brommapojkarna winning once at home. This underlines the attacking qualities of both teams, while Brommapojkarna’s defense is considered vulnerable.

    Match Forecast
    Malmö is the clear favorite in this duel. The home team has more stability, higher playing quality, and holds the direct record against Brommapojkarna firmly. Despite the goalkeeper’s absence, Malmö’s quality and home advantage should be enough to pressure the opponent, especially defensively. The weaknesses in Brommapojkarna’s defense, worsened by the loss of a key player, increase the chances of a clear home victory. Brommapojkarna will most likely score at least one goal; however, many signs point to a clear lead and a win for Malmö by at least two goals. The betting odds of 1.38 for Malmö’s win represent an attractive opportunity.

    My tip: Malmö to win (1.38)
    Tip
  • Kasımpaşa - Trabzonspor
    When: 19:00
    Where: Turkish Super League

    Kasımpaşa
    Kasımpaşa currently occupies 11th place in the table and displays a very high-scoring style of play. With 53 goals scored and 55 conceded in 31 games, their matches are always exciting and open. Their average goal success is 1.71 per game, while they concede about 1.77 goals in return. The team strongly focuses on offensive highlights, which often lead to defensive weaknesses. In their last five games they achieved three wins, one draw, and one loss, underlining their rising form.

    Trabzonspor
    Trabzonspor is in 7th place and stands out with better defensive organization than Kasımpaşa, with a difference of 52 goals scored to 39 conceded. The team scores an average of 1.68 goals per game and concedes about 1.26 goals, showing their defensive strengths. They also recorded three wins, one draw, and one loss in the last five matches. Despite absences in the squad, Trabzonspor plays structured and controlled football, focusing on wing attacks.

    Injuries
    Kasımpaşa must do without Haris Hajradinovic due to a yellow card suspension. Trabzonspor has multiple absences, including key players like Denis Dragus (muscle injury) and Borna Barisic (cruciate ligament tear), which significantly weakens both attack and defense. Other players are also missing due to muscle injuries and yellow card suspensions.

    Head-to-Head
    The last five direct encounters always featured many goals, with various high-scoring matches (e.g. 2:3, 1:5) as well as tight games (2:2, 1:1). Three of the last five matches finished with more than 2.5 goals, and in most games both teams scored. This shows the open and offensive nature of the game between Kasımpaşa and Trabzonspor.

    Match Prediction
    Given Kasımpaşa’s offensive firepower and Trabzonspor’s more compact defense, combined with the injury problems at Trabzonspor, the game will likely be competitive and exciting. Kasımpaşa will try to take the initiative in their home stadium, while Trabzonspor, despite a thin attack lineup, will look for chances and aim to play defensively solid. Based on recent results and current form, it is sensible to bet on a double chance for Trabzonspor to secure chances for a successful outcome.

    My tip: Double Chance Trabzonspor (1.43)
    Tip
  • Elfsborg - GAIS
    When: 19:10
    Where: Sweden's Allsvenskan

    Elfsborg
    Elfsborg is currently in fifth place with 10 points after six games. With 10 goals scored and 9 conceded, the team shows a high-scoring but defensively vulnerable style of play. The team’s performance has been a rollercoaster: they win and lose alternately, with particularly significant weaknesses shown in defense. The attacking play is active, especially via the wings, but lacks finishing power and defensive organization. At home, they generally appear more secure, yet problems with quick turnovers and poor pressing remain.

    GAIS
    GAIS is in ninth place with 7 points and has scored only 5 goals while conceding just 4. The team relies mainly on a very defensive and compact style, often in a 5-3-2 or 4-4-2 formation. Chances going forward are scarce; the attacking play appears uninspired and lacks punch. The last five games brought just one win and four draws, which reflects their defensive approach. Away from home, the defense is further reinforced, making an offensive approach even more difficult.

    Injuries
    There are no reported injuries or suspensions in either team; thus, all players are available.

    Head-to-Head
    In direct encounters, Elfsborg recently showed some dominance at home with two wins (2-1 and 2-0) against GAIS. However, GAIS managed to win in the cup and the first season away match. The record is thus mixed, yet Elfsborg appears stronger at home against GAIS’s defensive style.

    Match Prediction
    This matchup is a classic duel between Elfsborg’s offensive but defensively vulnerable chaos and GAIS’s defensive, offensively weak tactics. Elfsborg will try to control the game, using their attacking strengths even if somewhat unstructured. GAIS will continue to try to defend and will create very little offensive threat. Given Elfsborg’s defensive problems, it is expected that GAIS will at least score once. The likelihood that both teams score at least one goal is therefore high. The bookmaker’s odds of 1.73 for the bet "Both Teams to Score: Yes" seem very fitting and are recommended.

    My tip: Both Teams to Score: Yes (1.73)
    Tip
  • Castellón - Sporting Gijón
    When: 20:30
    Where: Spain. Segunda División

    Castellón
    Castellón has presented itself as a very robust team in the last five matches with only one defeat, one win, and three draws. The team is characterized by ball control and attacking efforts through short passes, but often struggles in the final attacking phase, leading to many draws. Tactically, Castellón focuses on control in the center and utilizes the wings, but struggles with predictability in offense. The defense usually holds well, but could have difficulties with fast counterattacks. At home, Castellón is particularly strong, supported by their own fanbase, which gives the team additional drive.

    Sporting Gijón
    Sporting has shown rather inconsistent performance in the last five games with two wins and three losses. When everything fits, they are dangerous through quick vertical plays, but show deficits in defensive compactness when there are problems. Especially the key player Jesus Bernal is missing in the center, which impairs the coordination between defense and attack. Tactically, Sporting varies between four- and three-man defensive lines, trying to react to the opponent. Away, they are less confident than at home.

    Injuries
    Castellón is missing important players like Salva Ruiz (thigh), Kenneth Obinna Mamah (groin), and Douglas Aurelio (cruciate ligament), which limits substitution options and defensive stability. Sporting mainly misses Jesus Bernal (cruciate ligament), a central player whose absence significantly weakens the midfield and complicates pressing.

    Head-to-head
    The last two encounters ended in favor of Sporting Gijón (2:1 and 1:0), but both took place in Gijón. Castellón has not yet been convincing away from home. A different performance is expected from Castellón in their home environment, as home advantage plays a significant role in the Segunda División.

    Match prediction
    Considering the current form, Castellón's home advantage, the tactics of both teams, and the important absences, everything points to a home win. Castellón is a more stable and balanced team that will control the match. Sporting will have a hard time shaping the game and ensuring defensive stability without Bernal. The bookmakers favor Castellón with an attractive odds of 1.80 for a win – a promising value bet in this matchup.

    My tip: Castellón win (1.80)
    Tip
  • Derry City - St. Patrick's
    When: 20:45
    Where: Ireland Premier League

    Derry City
    Derry City occupies 5th place in the table with 20 points. The team has scored 17 goals and conceded 16, indicating a fairly balanced record. In the last five games, there have been three wins and two losses. Derry City's matches often feature many offensive scenes – an average of 2.54 goals per game, and in 54% of the matches both teams score. The team often relies on wing play, trying to stretch the opponent's defense, but sometimes fails in finishing and is vulnerable defensively, especially when the opponent launches quick counterattacks. On home soil, Derry City likes to play aggressively and with pressure, which sometimes leads to open situations in defense.

    St. Patrick's
    St. Patrick's leads the table with 22 points, having scored 19 goals and conceded only 11 – a clear sign of a stable defense. In the last five games there have been two wins, two draws, and one loss. Their matches average 2.31 goals, and in only 38% of games do both teams score, indicating a defensive base approach. St. Patrick's plays very compactly, especially in the central midfield, and often controls the game to deny the opponent space. Away, the team tends to act more cautiously and focuses even more on defense.

    Injuries
    Derry City must do without Sadou Diallo (broken arm) and Cameron Dummigan (hamstring injury), which weakens the central midfield and defense. St. Patrick's miss Romal Palmer and key striker Aidan Keena (injured until mid-June), significantly reducing their offensive strength.

    Head-to-Head Matches
    The direct encounters between Derry City and St. Patrick's are close and mostly favor the home team. St. Patrick's won twice at home with clean sheets, and Derry City also celebrated clear home wins. The home strength of both teams is an important factor and leads to balanced matches.

    Match Prediction
    This encounter promises to be a hard-fought game in which St. Patrick's defense will play a key role – especially given their top scorer's absence. Derry City will strive to control the game and score, but also appears vulnerable to conceding goals. The statistics and playing styles of both teams indicate a match with relatively few goals. Bookmakers' odds favor an under-2.5-goals bet, supporting this assessment. Nevertheless, at least two goals are expected as Derry City is offensively active and St. Patrick's also poses a threat through set-pieces or occasional counterattacks.

    My Tip: Over 1.5 goals (1.38)
    Tip
  • Shemrock Rovers - Sligo Rovers
    When: 20:00
    Where: Irish Premier League

    Shemrock Rovers
    Shemrock Rovers currently stand in third place in the table with 20 points from 13 matches. Their goal difference is balanced with 19 goals scored and 14 conceded, showing a positive differential of +5. However, the last five games have been marked by instability, with only one win, three draws, and one loss. The team usually tries to control the game and builds their attacks mainly through the wings, but has difficulties creating clear scoring opportunities against tightly packed opponents. Defensively, Shemrock are organized but concede on average slightly more than one goal per game. At home, the team appears confident, but cannot always build a clear lead.

    Sligo Rovers
    Sligo Rovers are at the bottom of the table with only 9 points from 13 encounters. Their goal tally matches with 19 goals scored, but they have conceded 27 goals – a very poor defensive record. In recent games, the defense appears very vulnerable, allowing opponents to frequently get easy chances. The team also tries to attack and scores an average of 1.46 goals per game, but the defensive insecurity leads to many goals on both sides. Especially away from home, the defensive qualities further diminish.

    Injuries
    For Shemrock Rovers, Daniel Mandroiu and Aaron McEneff are missing. For Sligo Rovers, Oskar van Hattum and Ollie Denham are out. The exact impact of these absences is hard to assess, but injuries can influence tactical planning on both sides.

    Head-to-head
    In recent encounters, Shemrock Rovers' home games have dominated with clear victories over Sligo Rovers (for example 4-0 and 3-0). Sligo Rovers have sometimes managed to earn points or wins at home. This home advantage plays a major role in this rivalry.

    Match Prediction
    The favorite role clearly lies with Shemrock Rovers, who have significantly better form, defensive stability, and home advantage. Sligo Rovers are defensively fragile, often leading to high-scoring games, but the somewhat hesitant offense of Shemrock recently combined with their organized, pragmatic style argues for not too many goals. Therefore, we expect a controlled game where the hosts dominate but the total goals stay under 3.5.

    My Tip: Under 3.5 goals (1.43)
    Tip
  • Shelbourne - Waterford
    When: 18:00
    Where: Ireland Premier League

    Shelbourne
    Shelbourne is currently in 6th place with 19 points from 13 games. The team presents itself defensively very stable and pragmatic, with a goal difference of 16:14. In recent matches, the team shows a remarkable ability to control games and achieve close results, with draws being common. Shelbourne's home strength enhances their reliability, where they usually appear confident and are hard to beat.

    Waterford
    Waterford currently stands in 8th place with 15 points, but has a worrying defensive record of 13:23 goals. The team fluctuates strongly between wins and losses without a single draw in the season. Despite relatively decent offensive performances, Waterford suffers from significant problems in defense, which are especially pronounced in away games. Their open playing style often leads to many conceded goals, which will likely be a major problem against Shelbourne's compact defense.

    Injuries
    Shelbourne will miss Daniel Kelly, Tyreke Wilson, and Paddy Barrett, with the defensive absences in particular potentially representing a weakness. Waterford is missing two key offensive players, Trae Coyle and Matty Smith, which is likely to further limit their already low scoring threat.

    Head-to-head encounters
    In the last five direct confrontations, Shelbourne clearly dominated with five wins. The results were mostly close but show a consistent superiority of the home team in direct comparisons. This underlines Shelbourne's defensive strength and the challenges Waterford faces when attacking this formation.

    Match prognosis
    Shelbourne is the clear favorite to win this encounter as well. Their defensive organization and home strength combined with Waterford's weak and unstructured defense clearly argue for a home win. The game will likely not be very high-scoring since Shelbourne prefers a pragmatic approach focused on security. The odds of 1.55 for a Shelbourne win indicate that bookmakers share this assessment. A close but deserved home victory is the most probable scenario.

    My tip: Shelbourne win (1.55)
    Tip
  • Henan Songshan Longmen - Tianjin Jinmen Tiger
    When: 13:00
    Where: China Super League

    Henan Songshan Longmen
    Henan is in a difficult position with 14th place in the standings and only 7 points from 9 games. With a goal difference of 11:14, the defense is particularly vulnerable, conceding an average of 1.56 goals per game. The offense shows little effectiveness with 1.22 goals per game and often acts too harmlessly, while the defense frequently breaks down and opponents find space. The form fluctuates greatly with two wins and three losses in the last five games, indicating a lack of stability.

    Tianjin Jinmen Tiger
    Tianjin is somewhat better off than Henan, standing 7th with 13 points from 10 matches, and a goal difference of 14:15. The offensive performance is slightly better with an average of 1.4 goals per game, but the defense remains vulnerable with 1.5 goals conceded. The team shows problems in chance conversion and concentration but can be dangerous when given space. In the last five games, they managed only one win, with two draws and two losses; however, they show some defensive discipline with 20% "clean" sheets.

    Injuries
    There is no specific information on injuries or suspensions for either team. Presumably, the squads are almost fully available without any major absences that would significantly affect the game.

    Head-to-Head Matches
    The previous five encounters show a close picture with two wins for Tianjin (1:0, 1:0), one draw (1:1), and one win for Henan (1:0). Another Tianjin win this season (2:1) underscores the balance, with many games being rather low-scoring. Nevertheless, the current form of both teams and their defensive issues should be taken into greater account.

    Match Prediction
    Both teams are not defensively secure and show weaknesses that the opponent knows how to exploit. The offenses are not consistent but have the potential to score goals. The high number of games in which both teams score, as well as the odds for over 2.5 goals (1.78), suggest an open game with goals on both sides. Although past encounters often had low scores, the current circumstances point to more offense and thus goals from both sides. Therefore, the bet "Both teams to score: Yes" with odds of 1.55 is highly recommended.

    My tip: Both teams to score: Yes (1.55)
    Tip
  • Chengdu Rongcheng - Zhejiang FC
    When: 13:35
    Where: China Super League

    Chengdu Rongcheng
    Chengdu Rongcheng is currently in top form and holds a strong second place in the table with 20 points from 9 games. With 15 scored goals and only 6 conceded, the team boasts an impressive goal difference of +9. Particularly noteworthy is the defensive discipline, which allows the team to play very compactly, conceding only 0.67 goals per game on average. The strategy is based on quick transitions and flanking attacks, while the home games are traditionally marked by strong support from the fans, providing additional motivation for the team.

    Zhejiang FC
    Zhejiang FC is in sixth place with 15 points after 10 games. Although offensively slightly more productive than Chengdu with an average of 1.9 goals per game, their defense raises concerns with an average of 1.4 goals conceded per game. Their recent results show fluctuations with two wins, one draw, and two losses in the last five games, reflecting their instability. The team relies heavily on ball possession and short passes but often lacks breakthrough power and necessary defensive organization, making them vulnerable to fast counterattacks.

    Injuries
    There is no precise information about injured or suspended key players for this match. Therefore, it is assumed that both teams can field their main players.

    Head-to-Head
    The recent encounters between Chengdu Rongcheng and Zhejiang FC clearly favor Chengdu, who achieved three wins and one draw in the last five meetings. Especially the two matches this year, with 3-0 and 3-1 wins for Chengdu, demonstrate Chengdu’s superiority and tactical advantages over Zhejiang. Additionally, the games are usually high-scoring, which highlights the offensive quality of both teams.

    Match Prediction
    Due to the clear form strength, solid defense, and home advantage of Chengdu Rongcheng, as well as the defensive weaknesses and inconsistent performances of Zhejiang FC, a Chengdu victory is very likely. The bet on a Chengdu Rongcheng win (odds 1.53) is therefore an attractive and well-founded choice for this matchup.

    My tip: Win Chengdu Rongcheng (1.53)

    Tip

POSSIBLE COMBI
  • Girona - Mallorca
    My tip: Over 1.5 goals (1.43)
  • Kasımpaşa - Trabzonspor
    My tip: Double Chance Trabzonspor (1.43)
  • Shemrock Rovers - Sligo Rovers
    My Tip: Under 3.5 goals (1.43)
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