Flamengo Rio de Janeiro - São Paulo
When: 21:30
Where: Brazil Serie A
Flamengo Rio de Janeiro
Flamengo currently presents itself as the dominant force in the league and is in first place with 24 points from 11 matches. With 24 goals scored and only 4 conceded (+20 goal difference), they exude confidence. The recent form with 3 wins, 1 draw, and only 1 loss in 5 games underlines their strength. The team impresses with aggressive pressing, quick transitions, and strong wing attacks. Tactically, they often rely on a 4-3-3 or 4-2-3-1 system, which operates flexibly and puts the opponent into trouble. At home, Flamengo plays with full power and benefits from fan support, which together with a stable defense makes them almost unbeatable.
São Paulo
In contrast, São Paulo has started a difficult season and is in 13th place with 12 points from 12 games. The goal statistics with 10 scored and 14 conceded goals, along with only 1 win in the last 5 matches, offer little hope for a positive outcome. The team appears offensively harmless and struggles with defensive weaknesses. Tactically, they often deploy defensive formations such as 4-4-2 or 4-5-1, which rarely prove effective. In addition, important absences such as Luciano Neves (suspended until July 17), Oscar (hip injury), and Ferreira (injury) further weaken the already thin offense. Away from home, São Paulo lacks confidence and penetration.
Injuries
Flamengo has no injured or suspended players, giving the coach full options. São Paulo must do without important players: Luciano Neves (yellow card suspension until July 17), Oscar (hip injury), and Ferreira (injury). These absences significantly reduce the guests’ offensive strength and creativity.
Head-to-head meetings
In recent encounters, São Paulo has held its own well at home: two 1-0 wins, a 0-0, and a 1-1 show that they are capable of “taking the teeth out” of Flamengo. However, the last home match took place while the upcoming game will be in Rio de Janeiro, where Flamengo is significantly stronger. The direct duel at the Maracanã was last won by Flamengo with 2-1, underlining their home strength.
Match forecast
Given the strong form, home strength, and full player availability at Flamengo, combined with many issues and injuries at São Paulo, a Flamengo win seems very likely. The hosts’ dominant playing style and offensive breakthrough power will cause problems for São Paulo’s stressed defense. Flamengo will control the game and will very likely leave the pitch with a victory. Therefore, we clearly recommend the bet Flamengo Rio de Janeiro win with odds of 1.40.
My tip: Flamengo Rio de Janeiro win (1.40)
Tip