Vasco da Gama - Grêmio P-A
When: 22:30
Where: Brazil Serie A
Vasco da Gama
Vasco da Gama currently occupies 14th place in the table with 13 points from 13 games and a goal difference of 14:18. The team shows very inconsistent form, with four wins, one draw, and eight losses. Particularly noticeable is the inconsistent offense, which shows a lot of ball possession and wing movement, but rarely finishes clear scoring chances effectively. Defensively, the team reveals weaknesses, especially in fast counterattacks, leading to many conceded goals. At home, Vasco da Gama plays more confidently, but recent results still leave some questions open.
Grêmio P-A
Grêmio P-A is slightly better off in 12th place with 16 points, having 4 wins, 4 draws, and 5 losses with a goal difference of 13:19. Their style is more pragmatic and defensively stable; the team mostly acts in a controlled manner, expecting mistakes from the opponent rather than dominating themselves. Offensively, they often lack penetration and pace, leading to games with fewer goals. The defense appears more compact than Vasco's but is vulnerable to quick counterattacks and generally remains cautious in their gameplay.
Injuries
Vasco da Gama will field a full squad without any absences, which is a big advantage. Grêmio is missing several key players, including Dodi (yellow card suspension), Joao Pedro (ankle injury), Joao Lucas (muscle injury), and Gustavo Cuellar (muscle injury). Especially the absences in midfield will significantly weaken the team and heavily impair their ability to control the game.
Head-to-Head
The last five encounters between Vasco da Gama and Grêmio P-A have always been close and low-scoring. Four of the last five matches ended with narrow results of 1:0 or 2:1, without many goals or clear dominance. These games were generally balanced, with goals scarce and each lead fiercely contested. In the last two matches, the home team won narrowly each time.
Game Prediction
Both teams are characterized by a defensive base setup and tactical caution, making a low-scoring match likely. Vasco da Gama wants to end their slump at home and will play offensively but has problems converting chances. Due to injuries, Grêmio will be forced to wait and focus on defensive stability. The record of direct duels clearly points to a close game with few goals. The bookmakers' odds, strongly favoring the 'Under 2.5 goals' bet (1.55), confirm this assessment. Accordingly, a match with a maximum of two goals is very likely.
My tip: Under 2.5 goals (1.55)
Tip