When: 12:30
Where: Italy. Serie A

Lazio
Lazio is currently in 12th place with 3 points from three games (1 win, 0 draws, 2 losses). The team has scored 4 goals and conceded 3. Form has been inconsistent, with convincing wins against Verona (4:0) and Atromitos (2:0), but also defeats against Sassuolo (0:1) and Como (0:2). Tactically, Lazio usually plays a 4-3-3 formation, focusing on possession and quick transitions. The defense is relatively stable, but offensively there is still a lack of creativity and efficiency, reflected by an xG value of 5.03 despite scoring 4 goals. Home advantage is an important factor for Lazio, who appear more confident on their own ground.

Roma
Roma currently occupies 6th place with 6 points from three games (2 wins, 0 draws, 1 loss). They have scored 2 goals and conceded only 1, highlighting a very compact defense. Their form is more stable than Lazio’s, with wins against Pisa, Bologna, and Everton, but also a narrow loss to Torino. The team prefers a solid defensive setup in a 3-5-2 or 4-2-3-1 system with fast counterattacks. However, the absence of Paulo Dybala is a major loss for offensive creativity. The xG in recent games is 3.46 goals, higher than the actual 2 goals scored, indicating some issues with chance conversion.

Injuries
Lazio is missing several key players, especially in defense and central midfield, including Nicolò Rovella, Manuel Lazzari, Samuel Gigot, Matías Vecino, and Patric. These absences significantly reduce both defensive stability and wing attacks. Roma also has significant absences, especially Paulo Dybala, who played a key role in attack, as well as Edoardo Bove and Leon Bailey, which limits their offensive options.

Head-to-Head
The last five meetings between Lazio and Roma have been defensively focused and low-scoring. None of the matches exceeded 2.5 goals, many ended 1:0, 0:0 or with narrow results, demonstrating the cautious and disciplined style of this derby.

Match Prediction
The Roman derby promises an intense, tactically shaped contest emphasizing defense and caution. Both teams have shown low goal output this season and demonstrate a rather pragmatic approach. Numerous injuries on both sides chiefly weaken offensive firepower, making a low-scoring game very likely. The history of encounters supports the assumption of a tight game with few goals. Due to the playing style of both teams and the lack of key offensive players, we recommend coverage through the “Double Chance Roma” bet, since Roma, despite all difficulties, shows slightly more stable form and is given a slight advantage by bookmakers. The odds of 1.33 offer a good risk/reward ratio from the prediction perspective.

My tip: Double Chance Roma (1.33)

When: 15:00
Where: Italy. Serie A

Kremonese
Kremonese currently stands impressively in 4th place in Serie A after the first three matchdays. With 5 goals scored and 3 conceded, the team shows a balanced approach between offense and defense. Recently, they secured points through two wins and a draw, including a notable away victory against AC Milan with 2:1, highlighting their tactical strength and discipline. Their style of play is offensively oriented, often using a 4-3-3 or 4-2-3-1 system focusing on quick counters and strong crosses. The xG statistics indicate a very efficient conversion of chances, while their defense currently shows a solid performance.

Parma
Parma is currently in deep crisis, ranking 19th with only one point from three games. The team struggles in attack (only one goal scored) and defense (five goals conceded). The form curve shows a losing streak with just one draw, while many key players are out due to injuries. The team appears disorganized and struggles with a lack of creativity and effectiveness. Although chances are created, there is a lack of successful execution, as reflected in the xG analysis. The defense is vulnerable and has not convinced so far.

Injuries
Kremonese is missing Martín Payero due to an unknown injury, which does not significantly affect the currently strong team performance. Parma, on the other hand, has numerous key absences including Hernani (ankle injury), Lautaro Valenti, Matija Frigan (ACL tear), Zito Luvumbo (adductor), Nicolás Valentini (thigh), and Jacob Ondrejka (fibula fracture), especially in the offensive and defensive midfield, which considerably weaken the team's playing quality and stability.

Head-to-Head
In the last four matches between Kremonese and Parma, both teams have won twice each and one match ended in a draw. This record shows a balanced history, however, these data have little significance given Parma's current form and injury concerns. The present condition of both teams clearly indicates a distinct advantage for Kremonese.

Match Prediction
Due to superior form, a more stable defense, and better squad situation, Kremonese is expected to be the favorite. Nevertheless, the Bundesliga often surprises, so a high-scoring game seems unlikely, especially as Parma offers little offensive power. The xG values and the previously tight results between the two sides suggest a controlled match with few goals. Therefore, the reasonable betting choice is Under 2.5 goals, as both teams either show defensive stability or struggle offensively to convert many chances. The 1.58 odds offer a good risk-reward ratio.

My tip: Under 2.5 goals (1.58)

When: 20:45
Where: Italy. Serie A

Inter Milan
Inter Milan currently occupies 11th place in the standings with 3 points from 3 games. The team shows a strong offensive performance with 9 goals but also has defensive problems, having conceded 6 goals already. The last five encounters present a mixed picture with a convincing 2-0 away win against Ajax, but also defeats against Juventus and Udinese. Home games are an advantage for Inter, as they perform more stably and offensively stronger there. Tactically, Inter prefers a 3-5-2 or 3-4-3 formation emphasizing wing play and high pressing intensity but with weaknesses against opponents' fast counterattacks.

Sassuolo
Sassuolo starts the season with 3 points in 14th place and so far has offensive difficulties with only 3 goals scored. However, they are somewhat more stable defensively than their Expected Goals statistics suggest, indicating good goalkeeping or bad luck for the opponents. Tactically, they prefer a 4-3-3 or 4-2-3-1 system focusing on ball possession; however, the final precision in attack is often lacking. Their recent results show they struggle against bigger teams, yet they have surprisingly often defeated Inter in recent direct encounters, confirming their role as an unpleasant opponent.

Injuries
Inter Milan misses Matteo Darmian due to lumbago, but his absence is not critical as adequate replacements are available. Sassuolo has to do without Laurs Skjellerup, whose role, however, is not very decisive.

Head-to-head Matches
In the recent direct comparisons, Sassuolo has surprisingly often had the upper hand, particularly winning the last two duels, including a 2-1 away victory in Milan. Although Inter has occasionally won, the matches were mostly close and hard-fought, indicating a balanced duel despite Inter's nominal favorite status.

Game Prediction
Although Inter Milan is the clear favorite on paper, the recent head-to-head matches and noticeable defensive weaknesses suggest a very realistic danger that Sassuolo can keep the game tight. A clear Inter win by a large margin is therefore questionable. The betting odds of 1.30 for a simple Inter win offer no sustainable value. Nevertheless, Inter is slightly favored due to home advantage and offensive power. The safest recommendation is therefore to bet on Inter’s victory to benefit from their higher quality, while a handicap bet appears rather risky. Stability will be crucial in the home game.

My tip: Inter Milan win (1.30)

When: 17:30
Where: Germany. Bundesliga

Bayer 04
Bayer 04 Leverkusen currently stands with 9 points at the top of the Bundesliga and shows an impressively dominant performance. With a goal tally of 14 scored and only 2 conceded goals, the team presents itself as an offensive powerhouse and defensively stable. Bayer plays aggressive football with high pressing and fast, precise counterattacks that often overwhelm opposing defenses. Despite some injuries, including key player Jonas Hofmann and long-term absence of Exequiel Palacios, the team compensates these losses excellently through broad squad quality and tactically disciplined build-up play.

Borussia Mönchengladbach
Borussia Mönchengladbach is deep in a crisis and ranks 16th in the table with only one point. The team has yet to score a goal in three matches and has already conceded five. The team appears defensively vulnerable and offensively completely weak without replacements, furthermore missing two important attackers, Nathan Ngoumou and Tim Kleindienst, due to injuries. Tactically uncertain and lacking ideas, Mönchengladbach struggles to create scoring chances or apply pressure. The defense leaves too much space, and the lack of offensive spirit offers little hope for a turnaround.

Injuries
Bayer 04 probably has to do without Arthur, Martin Terrier (Achilles tendon rupture), Nathan Tella, and Jonas Hofmann (muscular issues), the latter being a significant loss for creativity. Exequiel Palacios is out for a very long time. Borussia Mönchengladbach, in addition to Niklas Swider and Wael Mohya, also does not have Nathan Ngoumou and Tim Kleindienst available due to serious injuries, which further weakens the already weak offense.

Head-to-head meetings
In recent direct confrontations between Bayer 04 and Borussia Mönchengladbach, Bayer clearly has the upper hand, with several wins, including clear 3:1 and 3:0 victories away from home. Mönchengladbach has barely had any success in recent matches, while Bayer has repeatedly confirmed their dominance impressively.

Match prediction
The analysis of current form, squad quality, injury situation, and previous head-to-head encounters makes Bayer 04 Leverkusen the clear favorite in this match. Their favored status is justified by their strong defense and dangerous offense, which will likely create many chances and goals against the weak and unstable Gladbach team. The odds of 1.60 for a Bayer 04 win is an excellent betting offer with very good value given the circumstances. A clear recommendation for a Bayer 04 victory is therefore unavoidable.

My tip: Bayer 04 win (1.60)

When: 13:30
Where: Germany. 2. Bundesliga

Holstein Kiel
Holstein Kiel currently occupies 12th place in the table and has collected six points in the first five games of the season. The offense was somewhat inconsistent with five goals scored, while the defense conceded six goals. The team often plays in formations such as 4-3-3 or 4-2-3-1, controlling the central area of play and mostly initiating attacks via the wings. In their last away win against Schalke 04, they presented themselves as very organized defensively and used their chances decisively. Nevertheless, the team has alternated between phases of strong and weak performance in home matches so far, with the defense revealing weaknesses during fast counterattacks. Despite a certain quality, Holstein Kiel tends to have sterile possession phases without compelling breakthrough power.

Karlsruher SC
Karlsruher SC impressed with a very strong start to the season and currently holds 3rd place with 11 points from five unbeaten games. With seven goals scored and only three conceded, the Baden team shows a very balanced team performance. They play flexibly in formations such as 4-4-2 or 4-2-3-1 and stand out with aggressive yet intelligent football combined with high pressing. The defense is stable and knows how to control games when necessary without shying away from risk. The offense is versatile and scores from various game situations, making the team difficult to predict.

Injuries
Holstein Kiel can rely on an almost complete squad without notable absences. Karlsruher SC, on the other hand, must do without Louey Ben Farhat (foot) and Efe-Kaan Sihlaroglu (knee), though both players are probably not central to the team.

Head-to-head
In the last five encounters, Holstein Kiel dominated with four wins against only one loss. Remarkable is Kiel's apparent psychological superiority, which is repeatedly confirmed despite the current table situation and differences in form. This historical record promises an exciting match, in which Kiel often appeared as an "unpleasant" opponent for Karlsruhe.

Match forecast
This clash promises to be an intense, combative match in which both teams are likely to act tactically disciplined. Holstein Kiel wants to extend its good record against Karlsruhe at home, yet the current form of Karlsruher SC speaks for away strength and consistency. The games of both teams this season usually feature a moderate number of goals. In addition, many direct encounters in the past have been low-scoring. Therefore, the bet "Under 3.5 goals" with odds of 1.43 is recommended as a reasonable and safe choice since a game with few goals is likely.

My tip: Under 3.5 goals (1.43)

When: 20:45
Where: France. Ligue 1

Marseille
Marseille currently ranks 7th with 6 points from 4 games. The team has shown instability so far this season. Their offense is active with 9 goals scored, but defensively there are weaknesses, as an xG Against of 5.71 compared to only 4 conceded goals shows – their luck might soon run out. Tactically, they mostly operate with a 4-3-3 or 4-2-3-1 system and try to play through the wings, but against strong opponents often reveal a lack of pressure in the center. Home strength and passion could be an advantage, but alone that will hardly be enough against PSG's quality.

PSG
PSG is the undisputed league leader with 12 points from 4 games and an impressive record of 10 goals scored and only 3 conceded. The team is extremely efficient, even outperforming their expected xG value, and impresses with tactical flexibility under the new coach. The team plays dynamically, controls the midfield and uses its wing attacks deadly effectively. Despite the absence of key player Ousmane Dembélé, PSG has enough squad depth to compensate for this loss and continue to show dominant offensive football.

Injuries
Marseille must do without Désiré Doué (calf injury, until 06.10.2025). PSG is missing Lucas Beraldo (ankle sprain) and Ousmane Dembélé (thigh injury). While Doué is not a key player, Dembélé's absence is a significant loss for PSG but can be compensated by squad quality.

Head-to-head
PSG has won the last 5 encounters against Marseille, mostly convincingly and often with clean sheets (4 out of 5). This dominant history underlines the clear superiority of the Parisians over the home side, shaping the atmosphere ahead of the match.

Match prediction
The clash promises an intense derby with both teams showing offensive football. Marseille will try to counter the favorite and especially make offensive marks at home. PSG, despite Dembélé’s absence, pushes for another win to solidify their lead. Analysis of recent matches and statistics suggest goals on both sides. Marseille has scored in half of their recent games, even though they have displayed defensive issues at times. PSG’s offensive strength and creative playmaking almost always guarantee goals. Therefore, the bet "Both teams to score: Yes" at odds of 1.43 is highly recommended.

My tip: Both teams to score: Yes (1.43)

When: 16:15
Where: Spain. Primera División

Mallorca
Mallorca currently occupy 19th place in the table with only one point from four games and a goal difference of 4:9. The team is having major problems both defensively and offensively. Despite some chances, they have not managed to stay stable, and especially in defense there are visible gaps and lack of concentration, particularly in the second half. At home, they have only been able to secure one point so far and lost clearly against Barcelona. The xG values show that Mallorca actually concede more goals than expected, which reflects both bad luck and a lack of organization in the defensive unit.

Atlético Madrid
Atlético Madrid stand in 11th place with 5 points and a slightly positive goal difference of 5:4. Their performances so far have been rather mixed and the defensive stability that is usually expected from Atlético is not consistently present at the moment. After an intense Champions League match against Liverpool, some rotation in the team could occur. Nevertheless, Atlético remains a team with high individual quality and tactical discipline that focuses on efficiency and tight results, as shown by the recent close encounters with Mallorca.

Injuries
Mallorca have no injured or suspended players to lament, which is positive for preparation. Atlético, however, must do without important defender José María Giménez due to a thigh injury, weakening their defense.

Head-to-Head
The last five direct encounters clearly favor Atlético Madrid, who have won all matches, mostly with narrow final scores between 1:0 and 2:0. These games were generally characterized by a rather low number of goals, indicating a tactical match where Atlético primarily relies on stable defense and effectiveness.

Match Prognosis
Given the current situation of both teams and their historical meetings, a game with few goals is expected. While Mallorca repeatedly show defensive weaknesses, Atlético will likely not play with an open game plan, but try to secure the win with pragmatic and disciplined play. The absence of Giménez weakens Atlético’s defense, but the favorites remain clearly the visitors, who will efficiently capitalize on their chances. Therefore, the bet on an Atlético Madrid victory at odds of 1.78 is very attractive and offers a good risk-reward ratio.

My tip: Win Atlético Madrid (1.78)