Degerfors - Häcken
When: 14:00
Where: Sweden, Allsvenskan
Degerfors
Degerfors is in 15th place and is fighting to avoid relegation with only 14 points from 18 games. The defense is extremely vulnerable – with 39 goals conceded and only 18 scored so far this season. On average, they concede over 2 goals per game. The last five matches brought only a single narrow home win and one draw; otherwise, there were defeats. The defense looks like a Swiss cheese through which opponents regularly break through unhindered. Particularly notable is that Degerfors hardly applies any pressure on the ball carrier, giving opponents plenty of space to play. Offensively, they usually try to operate via the wings, but often lack the final pass or finish. At home they make an effort, but the defense remains a major problem.
Häcken
Häcken ranks 10th with 22 points, which seems much more solid. With 26 goals scored and 33 conceded, they have a rather shaky record. They have achieved two wins, one draw, and two losses in their last five games. Häcken shows a rather variable style of play, often keeping the ball but rarely creating clear chances. The defense is vulnerable, often like "Swiss cheese," especially on fast counterattacks. Additionally, key players are missing due to suspensions and injuries, which further weakens the defense. Despite having the stronger team, Häcken is vulnerable due to injuries and will probably go forward without withdrawing too much.
Injuries
Degerfors can draw from their full squad; there are no known absences or suspensions. However, Häcken must do without Pontus Dahbo (yellow card suspension) and Brice Wembangomo (injured). These absences affect the team mainly in defensive midfield and at the back, which further weakens their defense.
Head-to-head
The recent games between Degerfors and Häcken have been very open and high-scoring. For example, Degerfors won away 4-3 in April 2025, at home they had a 1-0 win but also suffered a clear 1-6 defeat against Häcken. Other matches such as 2-2 and 1-2 show that both teams are often offensively oriented and goals are abundant – defensive stability is rare here.
Match prediction
Due to the defensive weaknesses of both teams and their historically goal-rich encounters, a match with multiple goals is very likely. Nevertheless, the sometimes harmless chance conversion and partially unstable offense also leave open the possibility that the number of goals may be limited. Therefore, a bet on "Under 3.5 goals" at odds of 1.40 is recommended, as there is no clear dominance for many goals and both teams struggle with major defensive problems but also do not consistently create high-quality chances.
My tip: Under 3.5 goals (1.40)
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