Paris Saint-Germain - Real Madrid
When: 21:00
Where: Club World Cup 2025
Paris Saint-Germain
Paris Saint-Germain has confidently fought through the tournament: four wins without conceding a goal and only one defeat against Botafogo. With a solid defense and a sharp offense as well as the excellent form of Dembélé and Dúe, PSG poses a serious threat. However, the recent suspensions of Pacho and Hernández are a big loss for the central defense, making the defense more vulnerable. Despite the goalless victory against Bayern Munich, there were moments when the opponent could have scored.
Real Madrid
Real Madrid started the tournament somewhat shaky with a draw against Al-Hilal but improved significantly against Pachuca, Salzburg, Juventus, and Borussia Dortmund. The strong quarter-final match, where it was already 2-0 in the 20th minute, demonstrates the explosive offensive potential of the Madrid side. Especially Gonzalo García with four goals, including three opening goals, and the activity of Alexander-Arnold as well as the tactical flexibility by coach Xabi Alonso strengthen the team. Despite conceding two goals against Borussia Dortmund, the Spaniards showed character and secured the win.
Injuries
Paris Saint-Germain must do without suspended Pacho and Hernández, which considerably weakens the central defense and could affect the defensive structure. Real Madrid still miss Alaba, Heisen, Mendy, and Endrick. A possible returnee is Camavinga, who will strengthen the midfield.
Head-to-Head Meetings
Since 2018, Paris Saint-Germain and Real Madrid have met five times in the Champions League. Real won three times, PSG twice. The last encounter ended in 2022 with a 3-1 victory for Real Madrid. The matches are usually high scoring, with an average of over three goals and often reveal defensive weaknesses as well as strong individual offensive performances.
Match Prediction
With two key central defenders missing, Paris Saint-Germain will likely struggle to withstand the pace and unpredictability of Real Madrid’s attacking trio. Gonzalo García excels at finding space, and his interplay with Vinícius and Brahim brings width and speed that stretch any defense. Despite the fighting spirit of Dembélé and Dúe, PSG’s defensive gaps are expected to be exposed in key moments. Given the attacking strength and tactical aggressiveness of both teams, a goal-rich match seems inevitable. That’s why the bet on Over 2.5 goals (1.52) is a very appealing option.
My Tip: Over 2.5 goals (1.52)
Tip