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12.05.2025
  • Venice - Fiorentina
    When: 18:30
    Where: Italy. Serie A

    Venice
    Venice currently sits in 19th place and is desperately fighting to avoid relegation. The team has collected only 26 points after 35 games, with 28 goals scored and 49 conceded. In the last five matches, there was one win, three draws, and one loss, showing that Venice is primarily focused on not losing. Defensively, the Venetians often appear nervous and vulnerable, especially against fast and technically strong opponents. Offensively, there is a lack of assertiveness and creative actions, and often only few scoring opportunities arise. At home, they show a bit more spirit but also regularly concede goals.

    Fiorentina
    Fiorentina is in a significantly better position with 9th place and 59 points. With 53 goals scored and 35 conceded, they present themselves as both offensively and defensively more stable than Venice. The last five matches show two wins, two draws, and one loss. The team usually plays controlled and tries to create chances through ball possession and quick combinations through the center. However, sometimes they struggle with chance conversion, as well as defensively against fast counterattacks. Overall, they appear stronger offensively than Venice but are not always consistent on the road.

    Injuries
    Venice must do without Richie Sagrado (muscle problems) and especially Michael Svoboda (cruciate ligament rupture), which further weakens their already fragile defensive stability. Fiorentina misses Danilo Cataldi (muscle problems) and Edoardo Bove (heart issues), but these absences are less severe than Svoboda's departure at Venice.

    Head-to-Head
    The recent direct encounters were very low-scoring: 0-0, 1-0, and 1-0. These results reflect a cautious style of play, where both teams act rather defensively and try not to concede goals. This corresponds with the current situation in which Venice needs every point for the relegation battle.

    Match Prediction
    Although both teams show predominantly defensive tendencies in direct encounters and current form, there are several indications for a game with at least two or more goals. Venice must get points and will therefore take a more offensive approach and take more risks, which opens up spaces for Fiorentina. Fiorentina, on the other hand, is offensively too strong to completely close down defensively and will look for chances more intensively at latest in the second half. Together with the injuries in Venice's defense and the hosts' necessity to score, we expect a match with multiple goals.

    My tip: Over 1.5 goals (1.40)
    Tip
  • Al-Hilal Riyadh - Al-Orouba
    When: 18:05
    Where: Saudi Arabia Pro League

    Al-Hilal Riyadh
    Al-Hilal is one of the top teams in the league and impresses with strong offensive power. In 30 games, they scored an impressive 84 goals, which corresponds to almost three goals per game. The team demonstrates a very active and dynamic style of play with a lot of ball possession and high pressing intensity. At home, they are particularly dominant and can repeatedly create danger in front of goal through quick combinations and strong wing attacks. The defense is not flawless and concedes an average of 1.3 goals per game, but on home turf and with the support of the fans, they show great stability and usually control the game confidently.

    Al-Orouba
    Al-Orouba currently sits in the relegation zone at 15th place with only 30 points. Their greatest weakness lies in defense, where they have already conceded 61 goals, more than two per game. Defensive mistakes, a lack of positional discipline, and difficulties in transition characterize their play. Offensively, they are rather weak, having scored only 28 goals and rarely finding solutions against pressing and tight defensive lines. Away from home, they play very insecurely and have hardly any chances to control the game or put pressure on the opponent.

    Injuries
    Al-Hilal might be missing João Cancelo, a valuable player with high creativity and versatility, whose absence can however be compensated by the squad’s strong quality. Al-Orouba also has to do without Jean Michaël Seri, an important midfield pillar whose absence further weakens the defense and complicates game control.

    Head-to-Head
    There are no relevant details regarding direct encounters, which suggests the teams either rarely or not recently faced each other.

    Match Prediction
    Given the clear differences in quality and the presented facts, a clear home victory for Al-Hilal is expected. Al-Hilal’s offense is strong enough to overcome the weak opponent defense multiple times. However, Al-Hilal will likely see no need to push for an extremely high-scoring game with more than 4.5 goals, as their defense and home advantage provide sufficient security. Considering the style of play and recent results, it is very likely the game will stay under 4.5 goals, making this a reasonable and safe betting option.

    My tip: Under 4.5 goals (1.53)
    Tip
  • Kayserispor - Antalyaspor
    When: 19:00
    Where: Turkish Süper Lig

    Kayserispor
    Currently, Kayserispor occupies 13th place in the table with 41 points from 32 matches. The goal difference of 40:50 indicates defensive weaknesses but also a somewhat strong offense. The recent form is promising: in the last five matches, there were three wins and two draws – an impressive unbeaten streak. Especially at their home stadium, the team shows stable football and uses counterattacks and set pieces effectively. However, there are still vulnerable spots in the central defense that could be exploited by opponents.

    Antalyaspor
    Antalyaspor currently ranks 11th with 43 points and a goal difference of 35:55. The defense is one of the weakest in the league, as reflected in many goals conceded. The team plays offensively, which leads to many matches with lots of goals. The last five matches show three wins, one draw, and one loss. Away, Antalyaspor often appears less solid, which could be a crucial factor against Kayserispor.

    Injuries
    Both teams face important absences: Kayserispor must do without offensive player Duckens Nazon (suspension due to yellow cards), Nurettin Korkmaz, Yaw Ackah (muscle injury), and Stephane Bahoken (ankle injury). For Antalyaspor, among others, Guray Vural (suspension due to yellow cards), Kenan Piric as well as the long-term absences of Emre Uzun and Erdogan Yesilyurt with cruciate ligament injuries are missing. This personnel situation could significantly affect the balance of the game.

    Head-to-head encounters
    The recent direct duels have been balanced. This season, Antalyaspor won the home match 2-0, the return match in Kayseri ended 1-1. Overall, the encounters often show close results with few clear margins. Two of the last three matches ended in a 1-1 draw, indicating mutual neutralization. An outlier was a 4-0 victory for Antalyaspor, but this is rather the exception.

    Prediction for the match
    The combination of the offensive playing style of both teams, weaknesses in the defensive lines, and recent performances clearly speaks for a high-scoring encounter. Kayserispor appears stable and offensively dangerous at home, while Antalyaspor regularly scores despite defensive problems. Bookmakers see the game as quite balanced, confirmed by similar odds for Over and Under 2.5 goals. Based on the above facts, we recommend the bet "Both teams to score: Yes" with an attractive odds of 1.68. An exciting match with goals on both sides is very likely.

    My tip: Both teams to score: Yes (1.68)
    Tip
  • Slavia Mozyr - FC Vitebsk
    When: 19:00

    Where: Belarus. Premier League

    Slavia Mozyr

    Slavia Mozyr currently sits in second place and impresses with a strong offense: In 7 games, they have scored 14 goals while conceding 8. On average, they score 2 goals per game and concede about 1.14 goals. The team plays offensively oriented football, often leading to open, high-scoring matches. Although they sometimes show defensive weaknesses, they are very dangerous in attack and produce goals for both teams in 71% of their games. This combination makes them a very attractive team, especially active at home.

    FC Vitebsk

    FC Vitebsk currently stands in ninth place with 10 points from 7 games. They have scored 13 goals and conceded 8. Their offensive stats are solid, but their games are usually less spectacular in terms of goals on both sides – only 43% of their games have goals from both teams. Due to injuries, key players Denis Levitskiy (ACL tear) and Gleb Zherdev (foot injury) are missing. They usually play a more cautious, vertically-oriented style of football, which can be more defensively stable but also opens up counterattack opportunities for the opponent.

    Injuries

    Two players are injured at FC Vitebsk: Denis Levitskiy (ACL tear) and Gleb Zherdev (foot injury). Slavia Mozyr can draw from a full squad and apparently enters the match without major absences.

    Head-to-Head

    There is a lack of current data on direct encounters between Slavia Mozyr and FC Vitebsk, so no reliable analysis of recent meetings is possible. This match is to be seen as almost their first meeting in the current context.

    Match Prediction

    The statistics and playing styles of both teams suggest a high-scoring match with an open exchange. Slavia Mozyr will play offensively at home and likely create numerous chances again. FC Vitebsk should also be dangerous on the counterattack, although the personnel shortages may weigh on them somewhat. Interestingly, bookmakers consider FC Vitebsk the favorite and expect a low-scoring game, which is quite unusual given the odds. Based on form, scoring threat from both teams, and style of play, it is very likely that FC Vitebsk will secure at least one point. Therefore, the double chance bet on FC Vitebsk at odds of 1.35 appears to be a safe and attractive option.

    My tip: Double Chance FC Vitebsk (1.35)
    Tip
  • Gothenburg - Djurgården
    When: 19:10
    Where: Swedish Allsvenskan

    Gothenburg
    Gothenburg currently stands in 9th place in the table after 7 games with 10 points. The team shows offensive commitment but often lacks the necessary precision in attack. Defensively, the team reveals weaknesses, conceding on average almost 1.5 goals per game. They perform somewhat stronger in home matches, but their defense remains vulnerable. Overall, about 43% of their matches end with goals on both sides and over 2.5 goals. This underscores their tendency towards open and high-scoring games.

    Djurgården
    Djurgården currently occupies 11th place with 8 points from 6 games. The offensive performance is extremely weak: only 3 goals scored while conceding only 4. The team's matches are characterized by a strongly defensive, pragmatic style of football with very few scoring chances. Not a single league game surpassed the 2.5 goal mark. The strained offense and focus on securing the result often result in passivity in front of goal. Occasional crosses and attempts through the center regularly fizzle out without effect.

    Injuries
    Gothenburg has no reported absences and can field a full squad. Djurgården, on the other hand, must do without Nilsson Saefqvist (elbow) and Mikael Marques (foot), whose absences further weaken their already thin offense.

    Head-to-Head
    The last five matches between Gothenburg and Djurgården have been very varied with both high-scoring games (3:4; 1:4; 3:0; 2:1) and a 1:1 draw. Especially the recent 3:4 cup thriller a few months ago shows that despite league formations both teams can score goals in direct duels. Gothenburg’s defensive problems offer Djurgården opportunities to score, and Gothenburg themselves often score frequently against their opponent in these direct encounters.

    Match Prediction
    Although Gothenburg basically wants to make offensive marks at home, they will face challenges against defensively oriented Djurgården. Djurgården is extremely low-scoring in the league, but the high-scoring results from direct encounters argue for a match with some goals. Gothenburg’s defense is not solid, which should allow Djurgården at least one or two chances despite their weak offense. Nevertheless, Djurgården’s structured defense and cautious playing style make a high-scoring match unlikely. Bookmakers see a low number of goals (~2.5 goals) and we share this assessment. A game with a maximum of two goals is likely.

    My tip: Under 2.5 goals (1.68)
    Tip
  • Al-Ohduud - Al-Nassr Riyadh
    When: 20:00
    Where: Saudi Arabia Pro League

    Al-Ohduud
    Al-Ohduud is currently in 17th place and battling relegation. With 28 points from 30 matches, the record is modest: 29 goals scored versus 43 conceded, resulting in a negative goal difference of -14. The team has recently shown some stability with two wins, two draws, and only one loss in their last five games, but they excel neither offensively nor defensively. Al-Ohduud often plays defensively and tries to create chances through counterattacks but frequently fails in execution. Their defense is repeatedly challenged in quick-transition situations and struggles with positional errors and lack of backward movement in midfield. Despite a fighting spirit, their level is lower compared to the league's top teams. The average match stats with 2.4 goals per game and a 50% "Both Teams to Score" rate suggest a usually tough and contested match.

    Al-Nassr Riyadh
    Al-Nassr ranks strongly in 4th place with 60 points from 30 matches, reflecting an impressive record of 18 wins and a goal difference of +28 (64 scored to 36 conceded). The team is characterized by an offensive style of play, averaging over two goals per game. The 77% "Both Teams to Score" rate and 73% rate in matches with more than 2.5 goals clearly show their orientation toward high-scoring games. Even though there were two losses in the last five matches, they achieved three wins. The team often controls possession and utilizes fast wing attacks but occasionally struggles defensively under pressure. Thanks to squad depth, injuries are well compensated. Overall, Al-Nassr holds a clear quality advantage over their opponent and appears as the clear favorite.

    Injuries
    Al-Ohduud is missing Petros (knee injury) and Mohammed Al-Saeed (muscle injury), further weakening an already limited squad selection. Al-Nassr must do without Mohamed Simakan (leg injury) and Sami Al-Najei (ACL tear until June 2025), but their squad depth is sufficient to compensate. Therefore, no significant impact on the league standings is expected from these absences for Al-Nassr.

    Head-to-Head
    There are no current or relevant historical meetings between the teams, so no reliable conclusions can be drawn from previous encounters.

    Match Prediction
    The uneven duel between relegation-threatened Al-Ohduud and offensively strong Al-Nassr promises a high-scoring match. Al-Nassr will dominate the game, consistently applying pressure with their strength and quality advantage. Al-Ohduud's defense will hardly withstand this pressure, so despite occasional counters from the home team, most goals are likely to come from Al-Nassr. Betting odds of just 1.40 for an Al-Nassr win reflect this favorite status. Therefore, a clear bet on an Al-Nassr victory is recommended, as the likelihood of success is high and the team urgently needs points in the battle for the top table positions.

    My Tip: Win Al-Nassr Riyadh (1.40)
    Tip
  • Granada - Eibar
    When: 20:30
    Where: Spain. Segunda División

    Granada
    Granada currently stands in seventh place with 59 points from 38 games. The team has scored 59 goals and conceded 47, resulting in a positive goal difference of +12. With an average total of almost three goals per game (2.79), they play offensively but also allow quite a few chances. In the last five games, there have been three wins, one draw, and one loss, which represents their current form as solid. Granada shows an offensive style of play and tries to put pressure on the opponent, although this sometimes leads to gaps in the defense. They are motivated and have good chances to win at home.

    Eibar
    Eibar is in 16th place with 49 points, ten points behind Granada. The offense is unimpressive with only 37 goals scored, which means less than one goal per game (0.97). The last five matches brought just one loss and four draws – a worryingly weak record for a team aiming for promotion. Eibar appears uninspired offensively and barely manages to create dangerous chances. Defensively, they concede little but are overall lacking in effectiveness.

    Injuries
    Granada has no injured players to report and can therefore compete with their best lineup. Eibar has some issues with muscle injuries affecting Ander Madariaga and Angel Troncho, which further weakens their already poor offense.

    Head-to-Head
    The last two direct encounters both ended with 1-1 draws, which is a sign of cautious matches. In the past, there were clearly more high-scoring games with decisive wins for both sides. Currently, however, both teams show more restraint and lack of incisiveness.

    Match Prediction
    Granada comes into the home game in good form, is offensively significantly stronger, and wants to secure the three points to climb further up the table. Eibar, on the other hand, seems uninspired in attack and has injury-related absences that complicate the game. Bookmakers rightly favor a Granada win with an attractive odds of 1.73. The high motivation and playing strength of Granada promise a home victory, although Eibar is not completely without defensive chances.

    My tip: Granada to win (1.73)
    Tip
  • Atalanta - Roma
    When: 20:45
    Where: Italy Serie A

    Atalanta
    The "Goddess" is currently in great form and ranks third in the table with 68 points after 35 games. With 71 goals scored and only 31 conceded (+40 goal difference), Atalanta impresses with an aggressive, offensive playing style. The team shows especially strong power at home, supported by the crowd. In the last five games, there have been three wins, one draw, and one defeat.

    Roma
    The "Wolves" are in sixth place with 63 points. With 50 goals scored and 32 conceded (+18 difference), they show solid form without any defeats in the last five matches (three wins, two draws). However, without their key players, they often lack offensive punch, especially away from home, where they are less secure than on their own turf.

    Injuries
    Atalanta has to do without some important players, including Gianluca Scamacca (thigh injury) and Giorgio Scalvini (shoulder injury), weakening both attack and defense. Roma is missing two central creative forces in Lorenzo Pellegrini (thigh strain) and Paulo Dybala (tendon tear), which considerably reduces their offensive strength.

    Head-to-head Matches
    The recent encounters between Atalanta and Roma have often been high-scoring and with multiple goal differences. Atalanta won most of these matches, frequently by at least two goals. The games were always open, with at least two to four goals per match.

    Match Prediction
    Although both teams traditionally tend towards high-scoring games, due to absences and Atalanta’s more offensive setup, there are indications of a lower number of goals in this match. Roma will find it difficult to break through Atalanta’s high-quality defense, especially away and without Dybala and Pellegrini. Atalanta will rely on home advantage and play in a controlled way, likely tempering the match somewhat. For these reasons, the bet on "Under 3.5 goals" with odds of 1.35 appears sensible.

    My Tip: Under 3.5 goals (1.35)
    Tip
  • Sheffield United - Bristol City
    When: 21:00
    Where: English Championship Play-off Semi-final Second Leg

    Sheffield United
    Sheffield United currently holds third place with 95 points, 29 wins, and only 10 losses. The team shows an impressive defensive performance with just 36 goals conceded in 47 games (an average of 0.77 goals against per match) and a stable offense with an average of 1.4 goals scored per game. The last five matches were solid with three wins, one draw, and one loss. The team plays pragmatically, controls the game, and is especially strong at home, supported by the crowd and a well-coordinated squad. Overall, Sheffield United appears to be a well-functioning unit, highly motivated to be promoted to the Premier League.

    Bristol City
    Bristol City is in sixth place with 68 points, 17 wins, but also 13 losses. The team has a very vulnerable defense with an average of 1.23 goals conceded per game and struggles offensively, scoring only 1.26 goals per game on average. In the last five matches, their form took a severe downturn, with only one win, one draw, and three losses. Especially at home in the first play-off game, Bristol suffered a heavy 0-3 loss to Sheffield, clearly showing the quality gap. The offense appears uninspired and insecure, while the defense often leaves spaces open and shows no stability.

    Injuries
    Sheffield United is missing key players such as Rob Holding (ankle surgery), Jamie Shackleton (shin injury), and Oliver Arblaster (cruciate ligament rupture). Nevertheless, Sheffield has a deep bench and can compensate for these absences. Bristol City must cope without Luke McNally, who also suffered a cruciate ligament rupture, a significant loss for an already fragile defense.

    Head-to-Head Meetings
    In the last five encounters, Sheffield United clearly dominated with four wins and one draw. Particularly, the last meeting in the play-off first leg ended with a clear 0-3 defeat for Bristol City. These results underline Sheffield's superiority and Bristol's struggles to compete against this opponent.

    Match Prediction
    Sheffield United is the clearly stronger team, has a better defense, and controls the game better than Bristol City. After the first leg and Bristol's heavy 0-3 loss, Sheffield will likely leave no doubts at home and maintain their performance level to secure promotion. Bristol must take offensive risks, but the defensive weaknesses and lack of efficiency in attack argue against a comeback attempt. Therefore, a victory for Sheffield United is very likely.

    My tip: Sheffield United to win (1.90)
    Tip
  • Naftan - Torpedo-BelAZ
    When: 17:00
    Where: Belarus. Vysshaya Liga

    Naftan
    Naftan ranks 10th in the Belarusian Vysshaya Liga and has achieved 3 wins, 1 draw, and 3 losses in 7 games. The goal difference is -3 (9 goals scored, 12 conceded), highlighting the team's defensive weakness. The last five matches show a rollercoaster ride with three consecutive losses followed by two wins. The team plays an open style of football, presumably with a 4-3-3 system, but has major defensive problems, explaining an average of 3 goals conceded per game. Opponents exploit these gaps and score on average 1.71 goals per match against Naftan.

    Torpedo-BelAZ
    Torpedo-BelAZ is in 8th place with only one point more than Naftan. Notably, they are still unbeaten in 7 games (2 wins, 5 draws) and with a very stable defense have conceded only 3 goals. Their offensively weak but disciplined style, presumably with a defensive alignment (4-5-1 or 3-5-2), leads to an average of only 1.14 goals per game. They focus primarily on solid defense and quick counterattacks, which rarely end dangerously. Their recent results show consistency and tactical skill.

    Injuries
    There is no information on injuries or suspensions, so a full squad from both teams is expected.

    Head-to-head
    The recent direct encounters clearly favor Torpedo-BelAZ: of the last four meetings, Torpedo-BelAZ won three times and one match ended in a draw. Naftan has not won any games in this period. Torpedo has apparently identified the weaknesses in Naftan’s defense and exploits them skillfully. This indicates a tactical superiority of Torpedo-BelAZ.

    Match prediction
    Given the solid defense and unbeaten status of Torpedo-BelAZ as well as Naftan’s unstable defense, it is expected that Torpedo-BelAZ will also have the upper hand in this match. Although Naftan will try to shape the game with open offensive play, Torpedo-BelAZ is likely to keep a tight defense and decide the encounter in their favor – probably with a narrow score and few goals. The bookmakers view Torpedo-BelAZ as the clear favorite, which is confirmed by the recommended bet type 'Torpedo-BelAZ win' with odds of 1.48.

    My tip: Torpedo-BelAZ win (1.48)
    Tip
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