When: 19:30
Where: Bundesliga Germany

Mainz 05
Mainz 05 is currently in 7th place in the league table with 47 points from 31 games, scoring 48 goals and conceding 39 (+9 goal difference). However, the current form is downward: in the last five games, there were no wins, but three losses and two draws. The team appears unsettled and lacking ideas in attack, and there are also problems in defense, especially when the opponent applies pressure or attacks quickly down the wings. At home, Mainz is somewhat more stable, but the defense appears weakened by injuries and poor form, which greatly affects the security of play. The offense is often aimless and without targeted actions.

Eintracht Frankfurt
Eintracht Frankfurt occupies 3rd place in the league with 55 points from 31 games, having scored 62 goals and conceded 42 (+20). The offense impresses with high efficiency and an average of about two goals per game. The team plays lively, employing wing play and well-thought-out passes, even though the defense is not always flawless and concedes an average of 1.35 goals per match. The form is solid with three wins, one draw, and one loss in the last five games. Eintracht remains dangerous and adaptable away against various opponents. Despite some absences, including important players, the team has a broad and versatile offensive lineup.

Injuries
Mainz 05 is missing mainly key defensive players: Maxim Leitsch, Anthony Caci, Moritz Jenz, and Maxim Dal. These absences significantly weaken the defense, especially given the team’s current poor form. Eintracht Frankfurt can do without valuable players such as Junior Dina Ebimbe, Krisztián Lisztes, Kauã Santos, and Mario Götze. While Lisztes and Santos are less key players, the absence of Götze, an experienced creative player, is particularly painful. Nevertheless, the squad is well stocked and offensive quality remains high.

Head-to-head encounters
In the last five direct encounters, there was a mix of wins for Mainz and Frankfurt as well as draws. Notably, some matches saw a high number of goals (1:3, 3:0) with several goals scored by both sides. This shows that goals are not uncommon in this duel and that both teams can be either vulnerable or effective in defense and offense.

Match forecast
The match promises to be exciting and high-scoring. Mainz currently struggles with form crises and personnel difficulties in defense, while Eintracht Frankfurt displays a strong and versatile offense. Although Mainz is playing at home and aiming to end the negative streak, it will likely be difficult for them to effectively stop Eintracht’s attacks. The history of direct encounters shows that goals often occur in this matchup, and bookmakers also favor a game with multiple goals given the low odds of 1.60 for Over 2.5 goals. This suggests a high probability for a game with at least three goals, since Frankfurt consistently scores and Mainz at least creates their own chances, even though the defense is shaky.

My tip: Over 2.5 goals (1.60)

When: 13:30
Where: Germany. 2nd Bundesliga

Nürnberg
Nürnberg currently occupies 10th place in the table, indicating an overall average season so far. The team often appears as a wildcard, showing great variability in performance. A characteristic of the season is the high number of goals on both sides: 54 scored and 51 conceded goals point to a weak defense and at times chaotic play. The recent matches support this picture with only one win, one draw, and three losses in the last five encounters. Despite home advantage, there is a clear lack of structure and stability, mainly due to the disorganized defense – open spaces and ineffective pressing make it easy for opponents to create chances.

Elversberg
Elversberg is the positive surprise of the season, ranking 5th, only four points away from the promotion spots. With a strong defense that has conceded only 35 goals and a good goal tally of 56, the team presents itself as a well-organized and disciplined unit. The last five games are also promising: two wins and three draws without a defeat. Elversberg plays structured, controls the midfield, and combines good defensive behavior with efficient offensive actions. However, the suspension of an important defender could somewhat weaken the defense.

Injuries
Several players are out for Nürnberg, including Jens Castrop due to knee problems, which was already anticipated but does not improve the already weak defense. For Elversberg, Robin Fellhauer is unavailable due to a yellow card suspension and Patryk Dragon due to injury, which also weakens the defense somewhat, but the team remains overall well positioned.

Head-to-head
The last three direct encounters are quite balanced with two wins for Elversberg (2-1 and 1-0) and one for Nürnberg (3-0). The last match ended with a 2-1 victory for Elversberg, underlining the vulnerability of Nürnberg's defense. Additionally, these matches have usually been high-scoring, suggesting an open and entertaining game.

Match forecast
Given Nürnberg’s weak defense and Elversberg’s strong yet goal-threatening offense, a match with many goals is very likely. Nürnberg concedes many goals, while Elversberg consistently scores. The statistical values of both teams confirm the tendency toward a high-scoring game, as does the bookmakers’ assessment, who offer odds of 1.55 for Over 2.5 goals. All these factors clearly support a bet on Over 2.5 goals in the match.

My tip: Over 2.5 goals (1.55)

When: 17:30
Where: Premier League

Chelsea
The "Aristocrats" occupy 5th place and have scored 59 goals and conceded 40 goals so far this season. Their recent form is solid with 3 wins and 2 draws in the last five games, remaining unbeaten. However, the defense shows weaknesses and the team struggles to really assert the game going forward. Especially at home, Chelsea should perform stronger, but occasionally lacks confidence against teams that apply high pressure.

Liverpool
The league leaders and current season dominators with 82 points from 34 matches impress as a powerful machine that has scored 80 goals while conceding only 32. In the last five matches they have won four times and lost only once. Liverpool is characterized by aggressive pressing football and lightning-fast attacks. Nevertheless, occasional defensive weaknesses emerge, especially when pushing high up and during transition moments that allow counterattacks.

Injuries
Chelsea must do without several key players, including key defender Wesley Fofana, whose absence further weakens the already vulnerable defense. Other injuries at Chelsea also limit squad depth. Liverpool has minor absences among rotation players, but these should not critically affect the team.

Head-to-Head
Recent encounters show a clear pattern: Liverpool recently dominated with clear wins (4-1 and 2-1) against Chelsea, whereas earlier matches were often low-scoring and balanced. This indicates an increased offensive punch from Liverpool and a more open style of play from both teams in the recent meetings.

Match Prediction
The combination of Liverpool's offensive strength and Chelsea's comparatively less stable defense suggests a high-scoring game. Both teams are capable of scoring goals and are likely to produce an open match with an emphasis on attacks. Bookmakers expect fewer than 3.5 goals, but analysis of the teams, their form curves, injury situations, and head-to-head records clearly point to a game with over 2.5 goals.

My tip: Over 2.5 goals (1.50)

When: 15:00
Where: English Premier League

Brentford
Brentford currently stands in 11th place in the table with 46 points from 33 games. The team has scored 56 goals and conceded 50, resulting in a positive goal difference of +6. In the last five games, Brentford has shown improving form with 2 wins, 2 draws, and only 1 loss. The team plays an open, attacking style of football with a high average goal yield of 3.21 goals per game. Especially at home, they are strong and use set pieces effectively. Their matches often feature many goals, as the stats confirm with 64% over 2.5 goals and 67% of games with both teams scoring. The team currently appears more stable and is motivated to further distance themselves from the relegation zone.

Manchester United
Manchester United currently occupies only 14th place in the table with 39 points from 34 games and a negative goal difference of -8 (39 scored versus 47 conceded). The form is alarming: in the last five matches, there have been no wins, only 2 draws and 3 defeats. The team is showing difficulties in offense, lacking ideas and being harmless in attack, while simultaneously being open and vulnerable defensively. Manchester United’s games are characterized by fewer goals (an average of 2.53 goals) and a relatively low 44% of games with both teams scoring. Injuries and crises of form significantly weaken the squad, which is especially visible in defense.

Injuries
Brentford is missing Vitaly Janelt (heel strain), Aaron Hickey (fitness), Igor Thiago (knee), Fábio Carvalho (shoulder), and Josh Dasilva (knee surgery). Manchester United must do without Joshua Zirkzee (thigh), Ayden Heaven (foot), Lisandro Martínez (cruciate ligament), and Amad Diallo (ankle). The loss of key players such as Lisandro Martínez noticeably impairs the Red Devils' defense. Brentford appears better able to compensate for these absences.

Head-to-Head
In recent years, Manchester United has often had the upper hand with several 2-1 victories as well as a 1-0. However, there have also been impressive results like a 4-0 home win by Brentford and a recent 1-1 draw. These games were mostly hard-fought and open, indicating an intense duel. Brentford has shown that they can certainly put Manchester United under pressure and take points away.

Match Prediction
Brentford currently presents stronger form and is an offensive force at home with a tendency for many goals. Manchester United is stuck in a deep crisis, especially in defense and offense. Given Brentford’s high goal count and the vulnerability of the Red Devils, we expect an open, varied game with multiple goals. Brentford’s status as bookmakers’ favorites is justified, and the odds of 1.68 for a Brentford win offer attractive value. Therefore, we clearly recommend betting on a Brentford victory.

My Tip: Brentford Win (1.68)

When: 18:00
Where: Italy. Serie A

AS Roma
AS Roma currently stands in 6th place with 60 points after 34 games. The team has scored 49 goals and conceded 32, resulting in a goal difference of +17. In the last five games, there were three wins and two draws. Roma's style of play currently appears rather pragmatic, with controlled ball possession and a defensively oriented setup. The offense struggles without key player Paulo Dybala; chances are created with difficulty. The defense usually shows stability, although quick counterattacks can occasionally be dangerous. At home, AS Roma feels confident and tends to win narrowly, with about one-third of the victories achieved by more than one goal difference.

Fiorentina
Fiorentina is close behind Roma in 8th place with 59 points. The team has scored more goals with 53 but has also conceded 34 goals, indicating an open style of play. In the last five matches, they also achieved three wins and two draws. Fiorentina places strong emphasis on offensive power through the wings and high pressing, but this compromises defensive stability. The defense often appears chaotic and vulnerable to quick counterattacks. In away games, the team shows an open and determined approach, which frequently leads to high-scoring encounters.

Injuries
AS Roma will be without Paulo Dybala due to a severe tendon rupture until August 2025. Besides him, Victor Nelsson (foot injury) and Saud Abdulhamid (muscle injury) are also unavailable, limiting rotation options. Fiorentina must do without Dodô due to appendicitis and Edoardo Bove because of heart problems. Dybala's absence is particularly painful for Roma as he significantly influences creativity and offensive drive.

Head-to-Head Matches
The recent encounters between Roma and Fiorentina were often high-scoring and unpredictable. Remarkable is the 5-1 away game win for Fiorentina in October 2024, a memorable result. Additionally, there were several draws with goals (2-2, 1-1) as well as narrow victories for both sides. Both teams often scored, which supports the memory of an open game with chances on both sides.

Match Prediction
Although bookmakers tend to predict a lower number of goals, many factors point to a solid home team AS Roma, which despite Dybala's absence, can leverage its defensive strength and control the game. Fiorentina will act aggressively and offensively, opening spaces for Roma. The combination of structured defense and home advantage favors a home win. The odds of 1.65 for an AS Roma victory offer an attractive risk-reward ratio.

My Tip: AS Roma win (1.65)

When: 21:00
Where: Spain. Primera División

Real Sociedad
Real Sociedad is currently in 11th place in the league table. In 33 games, they scored 32 goals but have already conceded 37 and have collected 42 points. The negative goal difference of -5 indicates that the defense is not always stable. In the last five matches, there were two losses, one draw, and two wins, demonstrating some inconsistency. Offensively, the team struggles especially with chance conversion – often lacking the final precision in finishing or the decisive pass. Tactically, Real Sociedad tries to play through controlled passing, but their attacking play sometimes seems too harmless, especially against compact defensive lines. They feel more comfortable at home and benefit from the home advantage and fan support, but slips can also happen there.

Athletic Bilbao
Athletic Bilbao presents themselves much stronger this season, ranking 4th with 60 points from 33 matches. The team has scored 50 goals while conceding only 26, which underlines a very balanced and strong performance both offensively and defensively. The last five games brought two wins, two draws, and one loss. Athletic plays active, fast football with effective pressing and skillfully exploits free spaces, especially during transition moments. The team fights with great character, which is particularly advantageous in an emotional derby. However, in away games in this fixture, they are not always as dominant as at home.

Injuries
Real Sociedad has to dispense with several key players: Álvaro Odriozola (muscle injury), Arsen Zakharyan (muscle injury), and Igor Zubeldia (thigh injury). Especially the absence of Zakharyan, who was actively integrated into the team, and Zubeldia, an important defender, are painful losses. Athletic Bilbao, on the other hand, can probably field their full squad, giving them a significant advantage.

Head-to-Head Encounters
The last five duels were very balanced: Real Sociedad won twice at home, Athletic Bilbao twice at Bilbao, and once Athletic narrowly won away. Particularly noticeable is that both teams can assert their home strength at home. In away games, both teams often struggle against their rival, giving the home team an advantage in this derby.

Match Prediction
Although Athletic Bilbao is having the better overall season, the home advantage speaks for a fighting performance by Real Sociedad, who at least want to secure a point. Real Sociedad’s defense shows weaknesses, while Athletic is strong and efficient offensively. Bookmakers expect a cautious, tactically shaped game with few chances, typical for a tight derby, reflected in low odds for under 2.5 goals. Nevertheless, based on both teams’ play and offensive capabilities as well as Real Sociedad’s defensive problems, I see a match with enough goals. Therefore, the bet Over 2.5 goals with odds of 1.48 is highly recommended.

My tip: Over 2.5 goals (1.48)