When: 12:00
Where: South Korea. K-League 1

Kimcheon Sanmu
Kimcheon Sanmu currently occupy 5th place in the table with 25 points from 17 games. They have scored 24 goals and conceded 18, resulting in a decent goal difference of +6. The defense appears relatively stable, conceding on average slightly more than one goal per game, while the offense seems quite productive with an average of 1.41 goals per game. However, the form curve is not ideal: only one win, two draws, and two losses in the last five matches indicate some instability. Particularly noticeable are problems in transition play and a lack of incisiveness against compact defensive lines. They feel more secure at home but have recently struggled here as well to consistently impose their attacking play.

Pohang Steelers
Pohang Steelers stand in 4th place with 28 points and have a goal difference of +3, with 22 goals scored and 19 conceded. Compared to Kimcheon Sanmu, they score slightly fewer goals per game (1.29) and concede a bit more (1.12). Their current form, however, is excellent with four wins in the last five games, giving the team a lot of confidence. Their play is dynamic, with quick transitions and varied attacking patterns through the wings and the center. Despite occasional defensive weaknesses, the team compensates with their offensive power. Due to injuries, Jo Sung-wook and An Jae-joon are absent, which will test the squad depth.

Injuries
Kimcheon Sanmu have no absences and the squad is at full strength. Pohang Steelers have to do without Jo Sung-wook and An Jae-joon, making team rotation somewhat more difficult.

Head-to-Head
Historically, Kimcheon Sanmu is an uncomfortable opponent for Pohang Steelers. In the last five direct encounters, Kimcheon Sanmu won four times and drew once. This dominant record, especially in home games, gives Kimcheon Sanmu a psychological advantage and shows that they know the Steelers’ weaknesses well and can exploit them.

Match Prediction
Although Pohang Steelers are currently in outstanding form, Kimcheon Sanmu’s home record and historical success suggest a closely contested match where neither team will take mistakes lightly. Both teams have offensive qualities, but the tactical setup and the high importance of the game will likely favor a cautious, controlled approach. Therefore, the probability of a high-scoring match is rather low, especially since defensive lines on both sides have been more stable recently than at the start of the season. Consequently, betting on "Under 3.5 Goals" with odds of 1.33 is very convincing and well backed.

My Tip: Under 3.5 Goals (1.33)

When: 12:00
Where: South Korea. K-League 1

Jeju United
Jeju United currently holds 10th place with 19 points from 17 matches. The team shows a solid defense with 22 goals conceded and a comparatively pragmatic style of play, which, however, often lacks offensive punch. They score on average one goal per game and display a more stable performance at home with greater security, which is reinforced by the support of the home fans.

Daegu FC
Daegu FC is at the bottom of the table in 12th place with 12 points from 17 matches. The defense is very vulnerable, conceding an average of almost 1.7 goals per game, and they have yet to play a single clean sheet this season. Offensively, Daegu manages to score slightly more than one goal per game on average, but the team lacks consistency and tactical discipline, especially in defense.

Injuries
Jeju United is missing Dong-jun Kim due to an injury, the impact of which on the game is not yet fully assessable. Daegu FC has three important players injured—Yong-rae Lee, Dae-hun Park, and Jeong-hyun Kim—which further weakens their already fragile squad strength.

Head-to-Head Encounters
In the last five direct meetings, Daegu FC has mostly surprised with three wins and one draw, including a clear 4-0 victory. These matches often featured open, attacking play with many goals, indicating a defensively insecure style from both teams in their direct confrontations.

Match Prediction
Although Jeju United is the favorite playing at home and has a more stable defense, it is questionable whether they can exert offensive dominance that leads to many goals. Daegu FC is in a crisis but has often defended very openly in the past, resulting in high-scoring games. Because of the defensive weaknesses of both teams and the tendency toward results with goals, we recommend the bet "Under 3.5 Goals." This prediction takes into account that despite the openness in play, an extremely high number of goals is not expected, as Jeju United does not play very offensively and Daegu is not consistent enough to score many goals.

My tip: Under 3.5 goals (1.35)

When: 18:00
Where: Finland. Veikkausliiga

KuPS
KuPS is currently the leader of the Finnish Veikkausliiga with 23 points from 11 games. The team is characterized by a strong defense, with only 9 goals conceded and an average of less than one goal against per game. However, the offense shows some weaknesses, scoring on average only 1.45 goals per match. In the last five encounters, there were only two wins, one draw, and two losses. The recently somewhat shaky form and the loss of Samuel Pasanen due to ACL surgery additionally weaken the defense. Nevertheless, KuPS remains a difficult opponent to beat at home.

Ilves
Ilves is in third place with 19 points from 10 games and currently shows strong performances. With 21 goals scored, the team is the highest-scoring team in the league and relies on an open, offensively strong style of play with many rapid attacks and dangerous finishes. However, the defense is not quite as stable and concedes an average of 1.2 goals per game. All players are fit and available, giving the team a certain flexibility and punch. In the last five games, there were three wins, one draw, and one loss.

Injuries
KuPS has to do without Samuel Pasanen, who had to undergo ACL surgery and will thus be out for a longer period. Ilves, on the other hand, reports no injured or suspended players and goes into the match with full squad.

Head-to-Head
In the last five duels between KuPS and Ilves, there have been exciting and high-scoring games with several goals on both sides. Ilves won three of these encounters, KuPS only one, plus one draw. The results with high goal counts like 3:4 or 3:0 show that these teams rarely play cautiously and tend to have offensive, open matches.

Prediction for the match
Given the current form, the offensive style of Ilves, and the slight weakness in KuPS’s defense, we expect a game with several goals, but not explosively many. Both teams have the potential to score at least one goal, but KuPS’s defense can still make an impact despite the injury. The previous head-to-head matches also indicate goals on both sides, but it will likely be under 4 goals. Therefore, the bet 'Under 3.5 goals' is particularly sensible. The odds of 1.30 offer a safe chance for lovers of stable and well-calculable tips.

My tip: Under 3.5 goals (1.30)

When: 18:00
Where: Finnish Veikkausliiga

IFK Mariehamn
IFK Mariehamn is currently in a deep crisis, especially in defense. After ten matchdays, the team ranks ninth with 11 points and has a goal difference of -9 (11 goals scored, 20 conceded). On average, the team concedes two goals per game, which represents a significant weakness. The defense appears disorganized and sometimes disoriented. Creative ideas in attack are missing; often harmless passing without pace and depth leads to counters resulting in goals against. The recent form with only one win, two draws, and two losses in the last five matches suggests instability. Even at home, Mariehamn acts insecurely and defensively porous.

Vaasan Palloseura (VPS)
VPS shows itself clearly more stable and efficient. With six points and 14 points after nine games, the team holds sixth place in the standings. The goal difference of 0 (14:14) indicates a more balanced record, with a cautious defense that shows fewer “holes.” VPS is more organized defensively, leaves less space for opponents, and sets tactically sensible accents, especially on the wings. With three wins, one draw, and only one loss in the last five encounters, the team is in good form and presents itself as the clear favorite. In addition, they have mostly managed to win the last direct duels against Mariehamn.

Injuries
IFK Mariehamn must cope with the long-term absence of Patrik Raitanen, an important central defender. This gap significantly weakens an already fragile defense. VPS has no significant injury concerns, all key players are available, which further strengthens the lineup of the favorite.

Head-to-head matches
The last five direct encounters show a clear picture in favor of VPS. Of these games, VPS won three, drew one, and lost none. The 2-1 result in favor of VPS appears multiple times and gives the team psychological confidence against Mariehamn. This year, the encounters ended with a win for VPS and a draw at Mariehamn, further underlining VPS’s favorite role.

Match Prognosis
The current form, league situation, and defensive problems of IFK Mariehamn leave little hope for a home win. VPS appears more focused, tactically disciplined, and has better structure in both phases of play. The injury of a key player at Mariehamn aggravates the problems further. Considering Mariehamn’s defensive weaknesses and VPS’s solid performance, the match will likely be characterized by few goals, as VPS uses its chances in a controlled manner, and Mariehamn offers hardly any capacity for offensive highlights.

My tip: Over 2.5 goals (1.77)