Shonan Bellmare - Yokohama F. Marinos
When: 12:00
Where: J1 League Japan
Shonan Bellmare
Shonan Bellmare is currently in 17th place in the table with only 22 points from 20 games. The offense shows weaknesses with an average of only 0.75 goals per game, while the defense has already conceded 25 goals. The last five matches yielded only one win, one draw, and three losses. Tactically, Shonan prefers a cautious formation like 4-4-2 or 4-2-3-1, relying on a compact defense and quick counterattacks, but suffers from instability and poor chance conversion. They are somewhat more stable at home, but personnel absences significantly weaken quality and variability.
Yokohama F. Marinos
Yokohama F. Marinos occupies the last place in the league, 20th, with 14 points from 21 games. The team has a negative goal difference of -13, scoring 18 and conceding 31 goals. Despite this poor performance, they managed two wins in the last five games, but three losses still reveal deficiencies—especially in defense. Yokohama tries to dominate with offensive formations like 4-3-3 or 3-4-3 but suffers from defensive weaknesses, poor positioning, and a lack of offensive breakthrough, especially away. The team often has to take risks, increasing vulnerability.
Injuries
Both teams struggle with numerous absences affecting key players. Shonan Bellmare is missing Nagai, Zé Ricardo, Tamura, Matsumoto, and Ishibashi due to muscle and ligament injuries. Yokohama F. Marinos also faces serious absences with Noguchi, Quiñónes, Suwama, Miyaichi, and Kimura, which particularly weaken defense and central midfield. These personnel issues strongly influence tactical stability and the quality of the respective squads.
Head-to-head encounters
In the last five encounters between Shonan Bellmare and Yokohama F. Marinos, Shonan did not secure a single win. There were three draws (1:1, 2:2, 1:1) and two wins for Yokohama (2:3, 4:1). The matches were often high scoring, as the total over 2.5 goals was exceeded in four of the five games. Both teams have the ability to score goals but also defensive weaknesses, leading to open games with goals on both sides.
Match prediction
Given the crisis of both teams, their personnel problems, and the offensive weaknesses combined with defensive deficiencies, we expect an intense, combative game. History shows that both teams score and more than 2.5 goals are often seen. Shonan Bellmare as the home team could find the necessary inspiration thanks to the home advantage, while Yokohama will likely be unable to keep a tight defense due to their defensive problems. Therefore, the bet on "Both teams to score: Yes" is very sensible and attractive given the odds (1.55).
My tip: Both teams to score: Yes (1.55)
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