Lazio - Juventus
When: 18:00
Where: Italy. Serie A
Lazio
The 'Roman Eagles' are currently in 6th place in the standings with 63 points from 35 games. With 58 goals scored, they have a solid offense but show weaknesses in defense and have already conceded 45 goals. Their last five games brought three wins and two draws, underlining their current good form. Lazio plays offensively oriented and actively seeks the way to the opponent's goal. However, this openness and defensive gaps often lead to both teams scoring and over 2.5 goals in 63% of cases. They are especially motivated at home, even if they have to bear more responsibility. Their tactics are based on quick wing attacks and central combination play, but sometimes lack defensive stability.
Juventus
The 'Old Lady' is level on points with Lazio in 4th place but has a significantly better goal difference (+20 vs. +13). Juventus has scored 52 goals so far and conceded only 32, showing their strength in compact and consistent defense. With only 0.91 goals conceded per game and a 34% clean sheet rate, they are a top defensive team. Their style is pragmatic: intense coverage, patiently working out chances, often from set pieces or counters. Offensively, they sometimes lack the final punch, which is why only 43% of their games have more than 2.5 goals and in just 46% both teams score. Although Juventus is currently not in top form (two wins, two draws, one loss in the last five games), the team remains an extremely tough opponent. A weakness could be low adaptability to opponent counters; however, they usually dominate with their defensive stability.
Injuries
Lazio must do without Manuel Lazzari (calf injury), Nuno Tavares (thigh), and Patric (ankle surgery until July), which especially affects defense and wings. Juventus has a number of injured players, including key defenders like Federico Gatti, Bremer, Kelly, and Cabal, representing a significant loss of their main strength. Nevertheless, Juventus has sufficient depth in the squad to compensate for these absences.
Head-to-Head
The direct encounters from last season and currently indicate defensive and tough games. In the 2024/2025 league matches, the games mostly ended with 1-0 results and few goals. In five of the last meetings, the teams barely conceded more than one goal each, suggesting cautious and tactically shaped matches.
Match Prediction
This matchup promises a close duel with great tactical discipline and a lot of defense. Lazio is more offensive but also more vulnerable, while Juventus, despite injury problems, will uphold their defensive virtues. History and current data clearly show that few goals are to be expected here. Bookmakers’ odds for under 2.5 goals are low, confirming the expectation of a tight game. Given the balanced situation and the slightly favored home team, a double chance bet on Lazio is a sensible hedge to back a draw or a Lazio win. The odds of 1.35 make this bet attractive and sufficiently low risk.
My tip: Double Chance Lazio (1.35)
Tip