Spain - France
When: 21:00
Where: UEFA Nations League Semifinal
Spain
The team of Luis de la Fuente is in excellent form: a series of 18 games unbeaten and the victory at Euro 2024 confirm the high ambitions. The coach brings fresh momentum with new faces – among them are Real defender Din Huysen and midfielder Fermin from Barcelona, and Isco returns after a longer absence. However, there are still weaknesses in defense, as in the last four matches they have not kept a single clean sheet. Offensively, the Spaniards rely on key players like Lamine Yamal, Nico Williams, and Álvaro Morata, who will operate in the center.
France
Under Didier Deschamps, the “Bleus” have been waiting for a title since 2021. After the loss in the World Cup final and the Euro semifinal, the team is searching for consistent stability. Some important players like Camavinga and Koundé are missing due to injuries, and there will probably be changes in the starting lineup following the Champions League final. The defense is in transition; it is very likely that Clément Lenglet will be used. Offensively, the French focus on Kylian Mbappé, who is in outstanding form and scored ten goals for his club in the last six games.
Injuries
Spain has to do without Rodri, who is still in recovery. France is missing Upamecano, Saliba, Koundé, and Camavinga due to injuries.
Head-to-head
In the last six direct encounters, Spain has a narrow lead with three wins compared to France’s two victories. Four of these games ended with only a one-goal difference, underlining the balance between the two teams. At Euro 2024, Spain won 2-1 with goals from Yamal and Olmo, avenging the defeat in the 2021 Nations League final.
Match prediction
Spain enters the match as the favorite, supported by an impressive winning streak and a harmonious blend of young talents. France also has great potential, but the weakened defense and possible fatigue of some key players after an intense season could be a disadvantage. A game with goals on both sides is very likely, with the decision probably taking place in the second half. From a safety perspective, the bet “Double Chance Spain” is recommended, which covers draw and loss and offers an attractive odds of 1.33.
My tip: Double Chance Spain (1.33)
Tip