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17.05.2025
  • Mainz 05 - Bayer 04
    When: 15:30
    Where: Bundesliga

    Mainz 05
    Mainz 05 is ranked 6th in the table with 51 points after 33 matches, a goal difference of 53:41, and an average scoring rate of 1.61 goals per game. The last five matches brought 1 win, 2 draws, and 2 losses, indicating some fluctuation in form. Nevertheless, Mainz traditionally shows a strong performance at home, especially through a compact defense and quick counterattacks down the wings. The tactical setup is likely to be 4-4-2 or 4-2-3-1, focusing on discipline and physical fitness, but sometimes lacking efficient finishing ability.

    Bayer 04 Leverkusen
    Bayer 04 currently sits in 2nd place with 68 points and an impressive goal difference of 70:41, which equates to an average of 2.12 goals per game. However, the team has only recorded 1 win, 3 draws, and 1 loss in the last five encounters, suggesting a slight decline in performance. Bayer often dominates possession and favors positional attacks in systems such as 4-3-3 or 3-4-3, with offensive involvement from the full-backs. However, their defense has shown vulnerabilities against fast counterattacks which Mainz will try to exploit.

    Injuries
    Mainz is missing key players such as Robin Zentner (muscle issues), Maxim Dal (cruciate ligament tear), Dominik Kohr (medial ligament injury), and Moritz Jenz (nasal surgery). The absence of Dominik Kohr in particular could affect the midfield's stability. Bayer has to do without several players, including Martin Terrier (Achilles tendon rupture), Nordi Mukiele (muscle fiber tear), Alejo Sarco (muscle fiber tear), Mario Hermoso (chest injury), and Jeanuël Belocian (cruciate ligament tear), which limits both defensive and offensive depth in the squad.

    Head-to-Head
    The record of recent encounters favors Bayer 04, especially at Mainz’s home ground: In recent years there have been two clear 3-0 away wins for Bayer, plus further successes such as 2-1 and 1-0. Nevertheless, Mainz has also surprised, for example with a 3-2 away win in 2023. Despite Bayer’s dominance, Mainz's home games are often contested and open.

    Match Prediction
    Considering the current form, injury absences, and Mainz’s defensive strength at home, both teams are expected to have good chances to score. Bayer displays statistically stronger offensive output but recently has struggled to convert this effectively. Mainz could score through quick transitions and committed defensive work. Bookmakers favor a non-defeat for the hosts due to their home strength and expect about an average number of goals. Still, the offensive style of both teams and recent tendencies toward variable play suggest at least three goals in the match.

    My tip: Over 2.5 goals (1.45)
    Tip
  • Borussia Dortmund - Kiel
    When: 15:30
    Where: Germany. Bundesliga

    Borussia Dortmund
    Borussia Dortmund currently occupies 5th place. Their offensive power is impressive, with 68 goals in 33 games – that’s over two goals per match on average. However, the defense is weak, conceding 51 goals, which is unusual for a team fighting for European Cup spots. In the last five games, they are in good form (four wins, one draw) and usually play very dominantly at home. However, they often show weaknesses in defense, especially against fast attacks.

    Kiel
    Kiel is in 17th place and is desperately fighting against relegation. With only 25 points from 33 games, the situation is tense. Offensively, they are not too bad with 49 goals, but defensively they are completely unstable – they have already conceded 77 goals, which is extreme in the Bundesliga. The team seems particularly lost in away games and shows clear weaknesses in all areas.

    Injuries
    Borussia Dortmund is missing key players like Maximilian Beier, Filippo Mané, Cole Campbell, and the key defender Nico Schlotterbeck. Kiel also has several absences, including important defenders like Marco Komenda, which further weakens their already fragile defense.

    Direct Encounters
    The matches between Borussia Dortmund and Kiel are rare but telling. In 2021, Dortmund won clearly at home 5-0. In contrast, Kiel managed a surprising 4-2 home win in 2025, an exception that shows they can be dangerous when the opponent is careless. Overall, Dortmund is clearly dominant.

    Match Prediction
    The clear difference in class makes Borussia Dortmund the clear favorite despite their defensive weaknesses. Kiel will find it difficult to stop the hosts' offensive strength. Both teams tend to play high-scoring games: Dortmund’s attack is strong, the defense vulnerable, and Kiel concedes many goals but also offers some attacks themselves. Therefore, an open and goal-oriented game is expected. The bookmakers also anticipate a high goal count, with an attractive odds of 1.35 for over 3.5 goals. This reflects the expectation of an exciting and high-scoring match.

    My tip: Over 3.5 goals (1.35)
    Tip
  • Leipzig - Stuttgart
    When: 15:30
    Where: Bundesliga

    Leipzig
    Leipzig is on the verge of recording their worst result of the season in the Bundesliga. Despite a possible last chance for victory, the team faces missing out on qualification for both the Champions League and the Conference League. The last four games have not been won, and the performances of the attackers, especially top striker Loïs Openda, have noticeably declined. The loss of captain Willi Orban and the absence of Lucas Klostermann further weakened the defense, highlighting the team's defensive instability.

    Stuttgart
    Stuttgart comes into the match with a lot of confidence after two consecutive wins and is eagerly looking ahead to the cup final. The team has played this season with a focus on the cup, which is reflected in their inconsistent form in the league. The defense, in particular, shows weaknesses, especially after the 70th minute of the game. The absence of the key playmaker Angelo Stiller affects the offensive potential, but recently they achieved an impressive 4-0 home win against Augsburg.

    Injuries
    Leipzig are missing Klostermann due to suspension, as well as Henrik and Aidara due to injuries. Orban and Schlager are doubtful. Stuttgart has to do without the injured Chase, Zagadou, Raimund, Stergiou, Stiller, Dial, and Toure, while Al-Dahil and Keitel are doubtful.

    Head-to-head encounters
    Stuttgart has already won twice against Leipzig this season, but all six away games against Leipzig have been lost. In the last four duels, a large number of goals usually fell, which tends to make the match open and high-scoring.

    Match prediction
    Given Leipzig's motivation to still save the end of the season with a win and the defensive weaknesses of both teams, a high-scoring game is to be expected. Leipzig scores an average of 3.6 goals per home game, Stuttgart also averages over 3.5 goals in recent games. Additionally, the absence of key defenders and the pressure on Stuttgart before the cup final point to an open game with several goals. Therefore, the bet Over 2.5 Goals with an attractive odds of 1.33 is recommended.

    My tip: Over 2.5 goals (1.33)
    Tip
  • Borussia Mönchengladbach - Wolfsburg
    When: 15:30
    Where: Germany. Bundesliga

    Borussia Mönchengladbach
    Borussia Mönchengladbach currently occupies 10th place in the table with 45 points from 33 games. With 55 goals scored, the team demonstrates offensive power, but struggles significantly in defense, reflected in 56 goals conceded and a goal difference of -1. The recent form is worrying: four losses and one draw in the last five games indicate an unstable, insecure team lacking the necessary flow and defensive stability, even though the team usually performs more actively in front of the home crowd.

    Wolfsburg
    VfL Wolfsburg stands in 12th place with 40 points from the same 33 games. Similar patterns emerge – 55 goals scored with 54 conceded and a positive goal difference of +1. Wolfsburg also struggles with inconsistency, currently in a slump following two draws and three defeats in the last five matches. Particularly away from home, the team often lacks penetration and stability. The defense is somewhat more stable than Mönchengladbach’s but remains problematic, repeatedly causing unnecessary goals against.

    Injuries
    Both teams must contend with personnel problems, especially affecting defense and wingers. Borussia is missing key players such as Nathan Ngoumou with an Achilles tendon rupture, Yvandro Borges Sanches, and Marvin Friedrich with muscular injuries. Wolfsburg, on the other hand, cannot rely on Bennit Bröger (knee surgery), Kevin Paredes (hamstring injury), and Sebastiaan Bornauw (foot injury), which further diminishes defensive quality.

    Direct Encounters
    The direct clashes in recent years between Borussia Mönchengladbach and Wolfsburg have often been high-scoring and open. Clear home wins alternate: Borussia won at home 4-0 and 2-0, while Wolfsburg managed a spectacular 5-1 away victory. Overall, the results point to a game with many goals, where neither side operates very securely in defense.

    Game Forecast
    Given the poor form of both teams, the weakening defenses, and the fact that Borussia Mönchengladbach appears somewhat more stable at home than Wolfsburg away, a safe bet on the double chance for Borussia is sensible. Although the favorite role is not clearly dominant, the home strength and Wolfsburg’s fatigue on the road justify this tip. Additionally, opting for a double chance keeps the risk manageable as a draw is also accepted. The odds of 1.40 offer an attractive risk-reward ratio.

    My tip: Double Chance Borussia Mönchengladbach (1.40)
    Tip
  • Augsburg - Union Berlin
    When: 15:30
    Where: Germany. Bundesliga

    Augsburg
    FC Augsburg currently occupies 11th place in the table with 43 points. In the current season, they have scored 34 goals but conceded 49. The defense shows weaknesses, especially the lack of positional stability between the lines often leading to dangerous situations for the opponent. Offensively, the "Fuggerstädter" rely on fast play down the wings but often struggle with finishing quality. Their form in the last five matches has been weak with only one win, one draw, and three losses. At home, Augsburg is generally stronger but also vulnerable to conceding goals here.

    Union Berlin
    Union Berlin is in 13th place with 38 points and an identical goal record of 34 goals scored and 49 conceded like Augsburg. Notable are the numerous draws in recent games, most recently four draws and one loss in five matches. The team is increasingly focusing on defense and discipline, often playing compact and trying to control the game with controlled ball circulation without taking big risks. The offensive actions are slow and predictable, resulting in few good scoring chances. Away, Union shows a pragmatic style of play that often ends in goalless or close matches.

    Injuries
    Augsburg has to do without several key players, including Mergim Berisha, whose offensive qualities are especially missed. Noahkai Banks, Yusuf Kabadayi, Reece Oxford, Fredrik Jensen, and Marius Wolf are also not fully available, which limits the squad depth. Union Berlin is missing central defender Diogo Leite, considered a key player in defense. Additionally, Robert Skov, Jérôme Roussillon, Woo-yeong Jeong, and Aljoscha Kemlein are absent due to various injuries, further weakening the defense.

    Head-to-Head Encounters
    In the last five direct encounters, Augsburg won three times, Union once, and one game ended in a draw. Especially at home, Augsburg has been clearly superior with wins of 2-0 and 1-0 against Union in recent matches. Most of these games were low-scoring, with the exception of a 4-1 victory for Union. Overall, it can be observed that both teams do not often concede many goals to each other.

    Prediction for the Match
    Although the direct history tends towards rather low-scoring games and both teams have not shown high goal numbers this season, several factors suggest a more offensive course in this match. Augsburg wants to redeem themselves in front of their home crowd and will play offensively to improve their recently weak form. Union's injured defense, especially the absence of key defender Diogo Leite, could open up spaces and chances for Augsburg. Union will likely remain defensively compact and rely on counterattacks, but despite lacking offensive punch, their defense is not as stable as usual. This constellation increases the likelihood that both teams will score at least one goal. Should Augsburg score early, Union will be forced to become more offensive as well, which means further chances for both sides. Therefore, the bet "Both teams to score: Yes" with the attractive odds of 1.50 is a very sensible recommendation.

    My tip: Both teams to score: Yes (1.50)
    Tip
  • Freiburg - Eintracht Frankfurt
    When: 15:30
    Where: Germany. Bundesliga

    Freiburg
    Freiburg currently holds 4th place with 55 points and shows an impressive form curve: in the last five games, there were four wins and one draw. The team plays very energetically at home, greatly benefits from the support of the fans, and demonstrates increasing efficiency and creativity, especially in offense. Despite occasional defensive weaknesses, the attacking spirit remains unbroken and the team appears very confident.

    Eintracht Frankfurt
    Eintracht Frankfurt is just ahead of Freiburg in 3rd place with 57 points and has one of the strongest offenses in the league with a +20 goal difference. However, recent games showed slight difficulties in securing clear wins, as many matches ended in draws. The team prefers ball control and attacks through the center but occasionally struggles with final penetration. The defense shows weaknesses and some injured key players may somewhat reduce the offensive strength.

    Injuries
    Freiburg is missing Daniel-Kofi Kyereh (knee surgery) and Bruno Ogbus (Achilles tendon rupture), which somewhat affects the creative offensive aspect. Frankfurt has to manage without Krisztián Lisztes (muscular problems), Junior Dina Ebimbe (gastroenteritis), Kauã Santos (cruciate ligament rupture), and especially Mario Götze (muscle injury), which weakens the playmaker role and can impair the connection between midfield and attack.

    Head-to-head meetings
    The history of the recent encounters between Freiburg and Eintracht Frankfurt mostly shows high-scoring and exciting games with many goals on both sides. Four of the last five games were very eventful, with numerous goals and open exchanges. The teams place great emphasis on offense in their duels and show little defensive caution.

    Match prognosis
    Due to Freiburg’s strong home form and the explosive attacking performance of both teams, we expect many scoring chances again and at least one goal on each side. Although injuries may affect the offensive qualities, each team has enough quality to score. Bookmakers rate the match as balanced but lean slightly towards Freiburg, which also reflects the home strength. The bet on the double chance for Freiburg is therefore very sensible to back a non-lost home advantage.

    My tip: Double chance Freiburg (1.43)
    Tip
  • Hoffenheim - Bayern Munich
    When: 15:30
    Where: Germany. Bundesliga

    Hoffenheim
    Hoffenheim currently occupies only 15th place in the table and is showing a mixed season with 7 wins, 11 draws, and 15 losses in 33 games. The defensive weakness is highlighted by a goal difference of -18 (46 goals scored, 64 conceded). In the last five matches, the team has only won once with two draws and two defeats. The team concedes nearly two goals per game on average and scores only 1.39 goals on average. 70% of the games end with goals on both sides, which suggests open duels. In particular, the defense appears vulnerable and leaves a lot of space between the lines, which opponents use efficiently. Hoffenheim has also recently shown no stability in home games, but rather increased vulnerability.

    Bayern Munich
    Bayern Munich stands confidently in 1st place with 79 points. The record of 24 wins, 7 draws, and only 2 losses speaks for a strong team. With a goal difference of +63 (95:32), they demonstrate enormous offensive power and a comparatively solid defense. In the last five games, there have been three wins and two draws, no losses. The average of almost three goals per game underlines the offensive firepower. Even with absences of key players, Bayern is known for creating many scoring chances and constantly putting pressure on opponents. Although there is a noticeable injury crisis in defense, quick countermeasures are often found despite minor mistakes.

    Injuries
    Hoffenheim is missing important players such as Grischa Prömel (ACL tear), Ozan Kabak (ACL tear), and several other absences in attack and defense. This significantly weakens especially the defensive midfield and the defense. Bayern also has a number of injured players, including Min-jae Kim, Jamal Musiala, Alphonso Davies, Dayot Upamecano, and Hiroki Ito. This considerably weakens the defense, making it generally more vulnerable than usual.

    Head-to-head encounters
    The encounters between Hoffenheim and Bayern have often been high-scoring in recent times. The last match in Hoffenheim even ended with a surprising 4-2 home win for Hoffenheim. In other matches Bayern mostly prevailed clearly, e.g., with 3-0 or 5-0, but there was also a 1-1 draw and an away win for Bayern. Four of the last five meetings had at least three goals, indicating open and exciting matches.

    Match prediction
    Bayern Munich is the clear favorite despite defensive absences. The offensive power of the Munich team is impressive and the injury-plagued opponent is having major defensive problems. Hoffenheim will try to resist with fighting spirit and home advantage against Bayern, but the quality and finishing accuracy of the guests speak for themselves. Additionally, we expect a high-scoring game, suggested by statistics and the injury situation of both teams. Bookmakers favor Bayern with odds of 1.50 on the win, confirming this prediction. A bet on Bayern Munich victory is therefore highly recommended.

    My tip: Bayern Munich win (1.50)
    Tip
  • Heidenheim - Werder Bremen
    When: 15:30
    Where: Germany. Bundesliga

    Heidenheim
    Heidenheim is in 16th place, which this season means relegation playoffs to avoid relegation. The situation is anything but easy: after 33 games, the team has only collected 29 points, with 36 goals scored and 60 conceded, resulting in a goal difference of -24 – one of the worst in the league. In recent games, the team showed mixed form with some concentrated and energetic performances, but also phases with defensive problems. Tactically, Heidenheim tries mainly to remain defensively stable in matches against higher-class opponents and to rely on quick wing attacks, but often lacks precision and finishing quality. At home, the performance is more confident, yet they concede an average of almost 1.82 goals per game even on their own ground.

    Werder Bremen
    Werder Bremen ranks 8th with 48 points, a safe mid-table position without much pressure. The offense is clearly more effective than the opponent’s with 50 goals, although the defense shows weaknesses with 56 goals conceded. In the last five games, Werder remained undefeated (2 wins, 3 draws), demonstrating strong current form and mental stability. The team mainly tries to play possession football and a positionally organized buildup but has difficulties creating forcing chances and generating quick opportunities. Particularly against teams that counter quickly, defensive weaknesses become apparent as the defense is often not optimally organized. The away matches differ little defensively, however, Werder usually plays a bit more cautiously there.

    Injuries
    Heidenheim must do without several key players, including Christopher Negele (muscular problems), Luka Janes (muscular problems), Sirlord Conteh (knee problems), and the regular goalkeeper Kevin Müller (concussion), whose absence is especially painful for the defensively stretched team. Werder is missing Milos Veljkovic (muscular problems), an experienced defender who stabilizes the defense.

    Direct Encounters
    In the last five direct duels, Heidenheim won three times, Werder once, and one duel ended in a draw. Especially at home, Heidenheim managed to beat Werder twice (4:2 and 2:1), and also achieved a 2:1 victory away. The last meeting in Bremen ended entertainingly with a 3:3. This shows that Heidenheim has found ways and means to crack Werder and that games between these two teams are often high-scoring. Historically, this matchup has not been very favorable for Werder.

    Match Prediction
    Heidenheim is motivated to fight against relegation and shows considerable potential on home soil, especially in high-stakes games. Werder is in form and unbeaten but often tends to draws as they struggle to dominate matches and exploit chances efficiently. Both teams have defensive weaknesses that in the past led to high-scoring encounters. Considering Heidenheim’s home strength, their motivation, and the goal-rich history between the teams, betting on “Over 2.5 Goals” seems very promising.

    My tip: Over 2.5 Goals (1.45)
    Tip
  • St. Pauli - Bochum
    When: 15:30
    Where: Bundesliga Germany

    St. Pauli
    St. Pauli currently ranks 14th with 32 points from 33 matches. The goal difference is rather average with 28 goals scored and 39 conceded. In the last five games there was only one win, three draws and one defeat, indicating rather mediocre form towards the end of the season. The team impresses mainly through a compact defense, usually playing with a structured formation like 4-2-3-1 or 4-3-3 with a defensive focus. However, the attack struggles significantly; creativity and precision are often lacking, resulting in poor chance conversion. Home advantage might help but does not make the offense significantly more productive.

    Bochum
    Bochum stands in last place with 20 points from 33 games and an extremely negative goal difference of 30 scored against 68 conceded goals. The form is absolutely weak with five games without a win, including three defeats and two draws. The defense is considered catastrophic, tactical discipline is almost non-existent, making it practically a walkover for opposing attacking teams. Even with ball possession, there is no progress – balls are often played sideways and lost to opponents. This defensive vulnerability worsens especially in away matches.

    Injuries
    St. Pauli must do without key players such as Elias Saad (muscle injury), James Sands (cruciate ligament tear), Jackson Irvine (surgery), Karol Mets (tendon problems), Sascha Burchert (surgery), Sören Ahlers (building form), and Simon Zoller (muscle problems). Bochum is missing Mohammed Tolba (hip pain) and Philipp Hofmann (rib fracture), the latter as a striker representing another weakness in an already weak offense.

    Head-to-Head
    The most recent direct encounters showed a narrow victory for Bochum (1-0 in January 2025) and a 2-2 draw from 2020. Due to the currently very different team conditions, these results have little relevance for the upcoming match.

    Match Prediction
    St. Pauli is clearly the better team on the pitch, which despite its own attacking issues will have great chances against Bochum’s dismal defense. Bochum does not play an organized defense and will very likely concede many goals. Although St. Pauli does not shine in attack, their effectiveness against Bochum is expected to be enough for at least one win. Bookmakers share this view and favor St. Pauli. Therefore, the bet “St. Pauli to win” with odds of 1.65 is highly recommended.

    My Tip: St. Pauli to win (1.65)
    Tip
  • PSG - Auxerre
    When: 21:00
    Where: France. Ligue 1

    PSG
    The French champions and league leaders PSG top Ligue 1 with 81 points from 33 games. With 89 goals scored and only 34 conceded, the team demonstrates impressive offensive strength as well as a relatively stable defense. On average, PSG scores 2.7 goals per game but also concedes about 1.03 per match. However, recent games have shown a weak phase with two defeats and only two wins in the last five matches. Tactically, PSG mostly relies on a possession-dominated style with flexible formations such as 4-3-3 or 4-2-3-1, which promote attacking play. Their matches are often high-scoring, as evidenced by 73% of matches with over 2.5 goals and 55% with more than 3.5 goals.

    Auxerre
    Auxerre currently holds 10th place in the table with 42 points. The team has an even goal ratio of 47:48 and scores an average of 1.42 goals per game while conceding 1.45 goals. In the last five matches, Auxerre managed to win only once and suffered three defeats, signaling weak form. Auxerre often scores in games, with 61% of matches featuring more than 2.5 goals. Tactically, Auxerre will likely play more defensively against strong opponents like PSG, possibly with five defenders, to slow down the opponent’s offense, although the defense remains vulnerable despite these measures.

    Injuries
    At PSG there are currently no injured or suspended players, so they can field almost their best lineup. Auxerre, on the other hand, must do without Kévin Danois due to a hamstring injury, and Nathan Buayi-Kiala is expected to be out until November 2025 with a cruciate ligament injury. Despite reduced squad depth, these absences do not represent major setbacks for the squad in the match against PSG.

    Head-to-Head
    The recent direct encounters between PSG and Auxerre show a clear dominance by the league leaders. Of the last three meetings, PSG won two matches decisively, including a 5-0 home win in November 2022 and a 2-1 victory in Auxerre in May 2023. Another match ended goalless (0-0) in December 2024 at Auxerre's ground. These results underline PSG's favored status, especially when playing at home.

    Match Prediction
    Given PSG’s strong offense, league leadership, and home strength combined with Auxerre’s defensive insecurity and poor form, PSG clearly holds the favorite position. However, it is expected that Auxerre will score at least once, especially since their games are often high-scoring. PSG will aim to take control early and apply high pressure to score, while Auxerre will likely rely on counterattack opportunities. Therefore, the bet "Both teams to score: Yes" with odds 1.70 is highly recommended, as both teams are expected to succeed offensively.

    My Tip: Both teams to score: Yes (1.70)
    Tip
  • Lyon - Angers
    When: 21:00
    Where: France. Ligue 1

    Lyon
    Lyon currently occupies 7th place with 54 points after 33 matches, having scored 63 goals and conceded 46, resulting in a goal difference of +17. The team is known for their offensive playing style, scoring an average of 1.91 goals per game, but also regularly conceding goals (1.39 on average). In the last five matches they recorded two wins and three losses, with stronger performances at home benefiting from fan support. Lyon primarily relies on fast, high-pressure wing attacks but shows defensive weaknesses in transitions, often conceding goals after losing possession. Overall, their games tend to be high-scoring and entertaining.

    Angers
    Angers currently stands in 13th place with 36 points, having scored 32 goals and conceded 51, which means a negative goal difference of -19. Their offensive creativity and firepower are limited, averaging less than one goal per game. In their last five encounters they achieved three wins, but mostly against weaker opponents. The team frequently plays defensively and cautiously, and is particularly vulnerable in defense, especially against fast counterattacks and set pieces. Injuries in the central midfield further weaken their already fragile defensive stability. Away from home they generally act even more reserved and are easy prey for stronger attacking teams like Lyon.

    Injuries
    Lyon will miss Ernest Nuamah, sidelined long-term due to a cruciate ligament injury. Angers lacks their central midfield with Haris Belkebla out and key players like Pierrick Capelle and Sidiki Chérif carrying injuries, adding extra strain to their already weak center.

    Head-to-Head
    In recent meetings, Lyon clearly dominated with results such as 3-0, 5-0, and 3-2. The only exception was in 2021, when Angers won 3-0. Otherwise, Lyon mostly defeated Angers convincingly, reflecting their clear superiority and suggesting a high-scoring game.

    Match Prediction
    Given the quality and form differences, Angers’ defensive weaknesses, and Lyon’s offensive firepower, a high-scoring game is expected. Lyon will likely play with pressure and score multiple goals. Lyon’s statistics with frequent games surpassing 2.5 and 3.5 goals and the high-scoring head-to-head matches support this assumption. Therefore, we recommend the bet "Over 2.5 goals" with odds of 1.40, as the probability of multiple goals is high.

    My Tip: Over 2.5 goals (1.40)
    Tip
  • Genoa - Atalanta
    When: 20:45
    Where: Italy. Serie A

    Genoa
    Genoa is currently in 13th place with 40 points from 36 matches. The record of 32 goals scored to 45 conceded speaks volumes: the offense is sluggish, and the defense is vulnerable. On average, barely 2.14 goals are scored per game, and Genoa scores less than one goal per match (0.89). The last five games brought two draws and three losses, without a single win. The team usually plays deep and relies on counterattacks, which often fizzle out in central midfield or fail to be successfully finished in the opponent's penalty area. There is a clear lack of creativity and courage in the final third. At home, Genoa shows only a marginally better performance, which overall offers little hope.

    Atalanta
    Atalanta ranks strongly in 3rd place with 71 points. The goal difference of 73:32 underlines their offensive firepower and stable defense. On average, nearly 3 goals per game (2.92) are scored, with Atalanta itself netting over two goals per match (2.03) and conceding less than one goal (0.89). In the last five encounters, the team won four times and drew once – a real form smash. Atalanta plays with high tempo, strong pressing, and a versatile offense that is dangerous both on the wings and through the center. Despite some injuries, the squad remains strong and well-rounded.

    Injuries
    Genoa is missing key offensive and midfield players, including Mario Balotelli (broken hand), Ruslan Malinovskyi (foot surgery), and Fabio Miretti (shoulder injury), which further weakens their already fragile offense. Atalanta has several long-term injured players such as Rafael Tolói, Marco Palestra, Giorgio Scalvini, Gianluca Scamacca, Juan Cuadrado, and Sead Kolasinac. Nevertheless, Atalanta has enough quality to cover these absences and continue playing dominant football.

    Direct Encounters
    The recent head-to-head matches show clear dominance by Atalanta. In the last three encounters, Atalanta won decisively with an overall score of 11:2. Earlier, in 2021 and 2022, there were draws, but nowadays Atalanta establishes itself as a clear superior force and usually wins clearly and convincingly against Genoa.

    Prognosis for the Match
    The situation clearly speaks for Atalanta. Genoa is exhausted, lacking clear motivation, and weakened personnel-wise, while Atalanta appears with strength, joy of play, and a clear plan. Unless Atalanta suddenly plays inattentively, a win is very likely. The higher quality, better form, and history all clearly favor an away victory. Therefore, a bet on an Atalanta win at odds of 1.73 is highly recommended.

    My Tip: Win Atalanta (1.73)
    Tip
  • Braga - Benfica
    When: 19:00
    Where: Portugal. Primeira Liga

    Braga
    Braga is in 4th place in the table with 65 points from 33 games (19 wins, 8 draws, 6 losses). The goal difference of +25 (54:29) shows a solid offensive and defensive performance. However, the last five games have had mixed results with 2 wins, 2 draws, and 1 loss. The team focuses on ball control and attacks down the wings, but sometimes has difficulty finishing effectively against well-organized defenses. At home, Braga is traditionally strong, showing more confidence in this position, but occasionally struggles with coordination issues against fast counterattacks.

    Benfica
    Benfica stands in 2nd place with 79 points after 33 games (25 wins, 4 draws, 4 losses) and impresses with an outstanding goal difference of +56 (83:27). On average, Benfica scores 2.52 goals per game while conceding only 0.82, underlining their strong offensive setup. The last five matches have been successful with 3 wins and 2 draws, remaining unbeaten. The team plays intense pressing with dynamic combinations and quick attacks down the wings. Although injuries to key players reduce squad depth, the core of the team remains very competitive, also away from home.

    Injuries
    Braga is missing Jonatás Noro due to an Achilles tendon rupture – a loss that does not significantly weaken the starting lineup. Benfica’s Renato Sanches (muscle fiber tear), Manu Silva, and Alexander Bah (both cruciate ligament ruptures) are injured, somewhat limiting squad options but hardly affecting the starting eleven.

    Head-to-Head
    The duels between Braga and Benfica are traditionally fiercely contested and emotionally charged. Both teams know each other very well, and the games are often eventful and high-scoring. Although access to recent direct encounters is lacking, the general picture is one of intense contests with close results. Benfica generally has the better status, while Braga remains dangerous with the home advantage.

    Match Prediction
    Benfica presents itself as a clear favorite with strong form, impressive offensive power, and an excellent season performance. The team will strive to maintain momentum until the season’s end. Braga has a good defense and home advantage but has recently shown some inconsistency and struggles to shine against top teams. Benfica’s injuries do not decisively affect the core players. Bookmakers also favor Benfica strongly with odds of 1.58 for the win. Based on overwhelming statistics, current form, and playing style, a Benfica victory is the most logical and safest prediction for this game.

    My tip: Benfica win (1.58)
    Tip
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