Germany - Portugal
When: 21:00
Where: Final Four of the UEFA Nations League 2024/25
Germany
The German national team presents itself as the favorite on home soil and brings a solid record of eleven wins and six draws since November 2023, despite some disagreements. In the home European Championship, they fought their way to the quarterfinals, where they narrowly lost against Spain. The performance in the Nations League quarterfinal round against Italy showed fighting spirit, even though a careless phase allowed a 3-3 draw. The German team mostly plays offensively, controls the game and seeks the way to the goal with a lot of ball possession.
Portugal
Portugal appeared dominant in the Nations League group stage and dropped hardly any points. In the quarterfinal, however, they had a very tough time against Denmark, even having to go into extra time and ultimately winning 5-2 after Denmark collapsed in the extra time. The team is almost complete under the leadership of Roberto Martínez, and apart from a capsule injury, the regular players are available. Nevertheless, the squad around Cristiano Ronaldo does not appear consistently confident, especially away, and has not shown a dominant performance in recent key games.
Injuries
Germany has some absences, especially in defense, with the injured Antonio Rüdiger and Nico Schlotterbeck as well as the talented Jamal Musiala. Portugal is still missing João Cancelo, who is not considered indispensable. Overall, the Portuguese squad is more stable for this important match.
Head-to-head encounters
Germany and Portugal are old rivals at the highest level. In recent tournaments, they have shown balanced matches. Germany appears stronger at home, while Portugal is known for their fast wing attacks. The direct record is balanced, with both teams able to score and concede goals.
Match prediction
Although Germany is considered the favorite and enjoys home advantage, the match will likely not be characterized by a flood of goals. The German hosts control the game in terms of play, but the injuries weaken the defense, which will give Portugal some chances. At the same time, Portugal itself lacks the consistency to unleash a goal extravaganza. Both teams will act cautiously to avoid big risks, making the bet on under 3.5 goals with odds of 1.45 the safer choice.
My tip: Under 3.5 goals (1.45)
Tip